The Virginia Cavaliers are 9-0 straight up in their last nine games, but just 2-5-1 against the spread in their last eight games. They head to Louisville to take on the Cardinals at the KFC Yum! Center this Saturday night as college basketball's regular season winds down.
Virginia is currently going off at 12/1 on the odds to win the NCAA tournament. The Cavs play a low-scoring style of play, which doesn't often help them cover the spread, but does allow them to win a lot of games.
The only blemish on Virginia's record this season is a 69-63 loss to the Duke Blue Devils. Despite having an offense that lacks star power and ranks 212th in the nation with only 65.8 points per game, the Cavaliers have put together a 28-1 SU regular season in the ACC. Even when faced with injuries the best defense in the country has continued to absolutely shut teams down, holding opponents to only 50 points per game. Virginia is 12-0 SU and 10-2 ATS in 12 road games this season.
Louisville does have some star power on offense in guard Terry Rozier (17.2 points per game) and forward Montrezl Harrell (15.6). The pair combined for 28 points in their last game against Virginia this season, but the rest of the team combined for only 19 points in the 52-47 road loss. The Cardinals have struggled this season against quality opponents with a 1-5 SU and 3-3 ATS record in their last six games against ranked opponents. Overall, Louisville is 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS over its last six games.
As the last meeting between these two teams did, this game could end up playing to an UNDER. The UNDER is 8-2 in Louisville's last 10 games according to the OddsShark College Basketball Database and 11-4-1 in Virginia's last 15.
This is a big game for both of these teams. With the ACC tournament looming, a win here would set the right tone heading into the postseason. Louisville is currently going off at 50/1 to win the title at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com, and could help its stock with a big win this weekend.