The Alabama Crimson Tide are 14–0 straight up and 9–5 against the spread in their 14 games since losing to Ole Miss in Week 3 last season. The Tide will have a chance to avenge that loss this Saturday on the road against the Rebels.
No. 1 Alabama is a 10-point road favorite in Oxford at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. In last year’s 43–37 loss to Ole Miss at home, the Crimson Tide were 9–point favorites.
The home loss last season was an uncharacteristic one for a Nick Saban-coached team. Alabama lost the turnover battle five to zero (tied for the most turnovers allowed in Saban’s 125 games as head coach of the Tide) and gave up 24 points on those turnovers, the second most one of his Alabama teams has ever allowed.
After losing each of its last two games to Ole Miss, Alabama will be extra motivated this Saturday to break that trend and get in the win column.
Despite the fact that Alabama had won its previous 10 games against Ole Miss before losing its last two, the Rebels have always played the Tide tough in recent years. No. 19 Ole Miss is 8–3 ATS in its last 11 games against Alabama per the OddsShark College Football Database.
Holding a 28–13 lead at the half in its season opener against the Florida State Seminoles, the Rebels looked to be on their way to a huge upset win. But the second half was all Florida State, as the Seminoles outscored the Rebels 32–6 en route to a 45–34 win.
Hugh Freeze’s offense should continue to produce this season with quarterback Chad Kelly at the helm, but the defense could be a liability against some of the conference’s stronger offenses. Ole Miss is 3–0 SU and ATS in its last three Week 3 games.
The total for Saturday’s Tide vs. Rebels betting matchup is set at 54.5 points. The UNDER is 6–2 in the last eight games between these two rivals.
Nick Saban was notably furious in the postgame of Alabama”s 38–10 win over Western Kentucky last week, disapproving of his team’s sloppy play heading into this big game. Ole Miss has homefield advantage and arguably the mental edge on Saturday, so Alabama will need to execute well to avoid a third straight upset.