Wednesday October 26th, 2016

For the first time since 2011, the No. 12 Florida State Seminoles will be a home underdog this Saturday when they host the undefeated No. 3 Clemson Tigers. FSU is 1–4 straight up and 2–3 against the spread in their last five games as a home underdog.

Florida State is going off as a 4.5-point betting underdog for Saturday night at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The Seminoles have won nine of their last 10 home games against Clemson.

In the team’s final game before its bye week, Florida State was dominant defensively against Wake Forest, holding the Demon Deacons to just two field goals and 252 yards of offense. But despite the dominant effort on defense, the Seminoles failed to cover as a 24-point favorite after turning the ball over four times and scoring only 17 points. 

Florida State improved to 5–2 SU, but fell to 3–5 ATS over its last eight games with the ATS loss.

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Since 2012, the Seminoles are 6–0 SU and 3–3 ATS in their last six games coming off a bye week per the OddsShark College Football Database. That stretch includes two wins over Clemson of 23–17 in 2014 and 51–14 in ‘13.

Like Florida State, Clemson also failed to cover the spread and had a down day offensively in its final game heading into the bye last week. The Tigers needed overtime to defeat the NC State Wolfpack 24–17, snapping a 4–0 SU and ATS streak with an ATS loss as a 20-point home favorite.

Deshaun Watson still finished with a strong day, passing for 378 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 35 yards and a touchdown. Clemson is 8–3 ATS in its last 11 games against Florida State.

The total for Saturday’s game is set at 60.5 on the college football betting lines. The UNDER is 5–2 in Clemson’s seven games this season.

Clemson has historically struggled at Doak Campbell Stadium with its last win there coming back in 2006. With both teams coming into this game off a bye week, this should be an excellent matchup between two of the best teams and coaches in college football.

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