Analyzing the experts
Baseball has Tout and LABR as the pre-eminent experts fantasy leagues. But historically, football hasn't had a pre-eminent experts league. Probably the closest thing to it is Yahoo!'s Friends and Family League, but that league includes so many Yahoo! guys it can't get in the guys form the other major media networks (noticeably absent this year were some of the big wigs from the four letter network)
So this year as we launched
What is the prize for first place, you ask? Well since it's on Facebook, I thought it only appropriate to make it something centered around the most important Facebook commodity -- the profile picture. Yes that's right the winner of the Fantasy Football 2008 Experts League will get to have their profile picture as my profile picture for one month with the heading underneath that says, "X is king" (or the best fantasy football expert in the world, whatever I feel like at that time")
You can see the full rosters
As for my team, I'm happy that
Let's see what the experts have to say for themselves.
Optimism for the Chiefs offense? Hardly. I'm not thrilled with owning two Chiefs that will start regularly for me, but
No, I copped that "reach" excuse at the time, but I'm really an unabashed Rice supporter. And at pick No. 80, I could afford to role the dice on his upside. I've had bad vibes for
My least favorite draft would be the Peach Pits. He had to pay a buzz-inflated price for
It felt like Asians Against Ted Jones was drafting with my cheat sheet in hand. He ended up with the best QB (
I hate being the last pick in a standard "snake" draft. In fact, I just dislike standard "snake" drafts in general. There's no doubt the last person on the list gets worse talent. When that first round came to me, it just made sense to take wide receivers as the best value.
You are always going to end up with more wide receivers as strong value in a league that starts three wide receivers. At a certain point, I kept taking the guys who were the best value and there just weren't starting running backs left. I'm guessing I'll be starting
All of them, I suppose. I basically used our KUBIAK fantasy football projections. I'm particularly proud of the defense and kicker picks, which were our highest ranked kicker and defense. I believe these positions can be projected with some accuracy, contrary to popular belief, and that we have the best projections out there at these positions.
Actually, Jeff, I think that giving it a very quick once over I like your team the best. I love every team out there that takes Peyton Manning this year; I can't believe how undervalued he seems to be, but the rest of Will's team doesn't seem quite as strong as the rest of your team after Brady. We're higher on Graham than most people, because I don't think people understand just how bad
I really don't like Liss' team. The situation around
It's tied to
Yeah, I took him with the plan on grabbing Rice as a handcuff but Funston took him about five rounds too early. So I grabbed
Thought Karabell had the best draft,
You have two clear starters at WR but three question marks (with tremendous upside after that). Which of the three to you have the highest hopes for? Why?
I'm not especially happy with my receiving corps. I tried something different in this draft than I usually do, and I've left myself exposed at that third spot. Between
Witten is my top tight end, but Winslow and Gates are both in that same quadrant. I chose Winslow over Gates because I'm less concerned about Winslow missing an early game or two. Overall, tight end is deeper than it has appeared in the past -- I'm happy taking Winslow in the fifth, but I would have been nearly equally happy to wait on the likes of
I hate slagging another team, especially in an experts league. But I'll say that Will Carroll has the riskiest team, with only four running backs, and only two of those that are starting. In his shoes, I would have eschewed a backup QB for Manning, and a backup TE, in lieu of adding two more RBs.
Funston's team looks really dangerous. McFadden is his third RB, yet he somehow managed to get three great receivers (Houshmandzadeh, Burress, Bowe) and a tolerable tight end in Daniels. Hell, his fourth receiver (
Crumpler was a perennial top-7 TE until last season when he was hurt. And he's healthy now. Moreover, he's in Tennessee, where coach
I wanted to get
Will Carroll should probably just use the RotoWire rankings and stop taking fantasy advice from
The chance to get two every-down running backs (AP,
My top three guys are
With the kind of year he had, Tom Brady was certainly a consideration. So was Joseph Addai, who just might end up being the top fantasy player this year. I feat
It's usually impossible to tell who'll be successful, especially in head-to-head leagues, but I like Eric Karabell and
You are known as the injury expert and picked a lot of guys with questionable health -- Manning, Harrison, Curtis, just to name a few -- do you know something we don't know?
I think I'm willing to take on more risk than most. I admittedly went very high risk, high reward mostly because that's what fell to me. I do feel good about Harrison. He's looked very good in camp and getting him in the fourth, even at his age, should be good value assuming he's healthy. Sadly, knowing injuries is not like counting cards.
You took Felix Jones earlier than most would have expected him to go. What do you expect out of him this season? And is this an indication of your feelings about
No, I love Barber, but I never had a shot at him with 11. When I got
Well, I'm bitter that I didn't realize we didn't have to draft a complete roster, as Jeff Ma did. I'm curious about the one-QB strategy that a couple teams went with, but there's probably decent out on the waiver wire.
I thought that FantasyGuru.com came away weak in many spots, but they're not bad. I like Funston and Erickson's team for their very solid set.
"I can't believe I picked
"I can't say I really wanted either Coles or Jennings, but at the spots I picked each guy they seemed like they should have been off the board. I don't assume Favre falls in love with Cotchery, and Coles becomes a guy who catches 80 passes but rarely scores, like Driver in '07. I think the attention from Favre will be more balanced. Jennings won't be scoring in double digits, but I do think
"I like Liss' team. I love having the first pick, then going back-to-back thereafter. He got nice value with most offensive players. I never say someone had a bad draft, because you never really know until about Week 10, but my pal Will Carroll certainly took chances with injury concerns and rookies. Hey, might as well shoot for the stars.
I think handcuffing is less necessary than most. In this case, Jackson is a quality running back because he has stand-alone value, whether you own Lynch or not. I only draft a handcuff if I believe they will get all the carries when the starter is hurt and that they can perform well. That's the case with Jackson. It doesn't help you that much to draft
I'm not worried about McAllister. He would be defying all historical precedent by recovering from his second ACL surgery and a microfracture surgery on his knees in the same offseason. I used to live in New Orleans and have a soft spot for Deuce, but I doubt he makes any impact. He has looked like he was running in quicksand during the preseason and could put the Saints in a tough spot if he doesn't pick it up. Stecker is solid, but the Saints swould prefer to use him as a third-down and special teams guy. Thomas is versatile and has a much higher ceiling.
You can't call Bush a bust, at least in fantasy leagues. He puts up decent enough numbers. He looks surprisingly ordinary on the field, but they will get him the ball a ton. I loved his value late in the fifth round considering he's a safe bet for 175 carries and 75 catches.
Best Draft: FantasyGuru/Brandon Funston
Worst Draft: BP's Funny Balls, I'm here for Brett
You have cornered the market on Bay Area tight ends. Which of the two do you think has more promise this year?
I really like
In one season we have seen
I keep taking Parker in the 4th because he's too good of a value to pass up. I spoke with
Ickey Shuffle probably had the best draft other than myself. The worst draft has to be BP's Funny Shaped Balls. Felix Jones in the 3rd round was one of the biggest reaches I've seen in a long, long time. Even if you love a player like Jones, there's no reason to take him that early when he usually goes in the 8th or 10th round (or later).
Maroney is my BOY, and I have always had love for Holt. Personal bias toward each of them made me jump ... I probably wouldn't have gotten them in the next round. I usually try to draft a round ahead ... Like taking the Vikings early, which was probably a mistake.
This year the first two picks of the draft have been easy for most but three is where we have seen some disagreement. How did you decide on Addai and who else did you consider there?
I wouldn't change those picks, don't care what people say. I took Addai over
I really liked the facebook users starters, I liked Eric Karabell's draft. Matthew Berry surprised me with some of his picks and I really like Funston's running backs.