The Thinking Chair
I had just started to put the crushingly sad news of
I guess that's a really roundabout -- and hopefully not insensitive -- way of saying that past performances do not guarantee similar results in the future. (A lesson my financial advisor, if I had one, would have hopefully impressed upon me long ago.) Need proof? Just look at what's already happened in this short season.
Some past performances had small sample sizes (guys like Twins OF
The many folks who snared
And, I'm not gloating, but ... here's the thing. Carpenter went for $15 in my NL-only league. Part of that was timing, in terms of who was left on the board and what budgets some teams had left, but it was clear that several owners in our league had him targeted as a sleeper -- and a bidding war exploded. Even if this injury hadn't occurred, it was ridiculous -- unless Carpenter was going to replicate his Cy Young season, that was going to at best be fair value for his production. It's a lesson I can't stress enough - after the first few rounds (or top priced players in auctions) go by, you should be trying to pay less than the player will produce. I can go buy a new Porsche for $200,000 but I don't have to -- they list for less than half of that. Sure, I'd still have a Porsche -- but I'd be left without many of the other things I wanted to buy.
(Note that this is advice that
If reports are correct,
Speaking of drafts, we're also approaching Draft Day for the NFL -- which is leading to some rare, exciting trade rumors that have real fantasy impact. The Browns, thought to be players in the
Both Quinn and Edwards have shown considerable if inconsistent talent, and would likely improve any team they joined, so this should continue to be something worth watching.
One team that denies being involved with talks for Quinn -- but certainly should think about it -- is the San Francisco 49ers. Would Quinn be worth their No. 1 pick, the 10th overall? I doubt it, because they could take
By the way, are any of you optimists hanging onto
Alright, that wraps up another one of these babies. Let's hope next week starts and ends with happier news across the board.