NFL Fantasy Forecast: Scouting defensive diamonds in the rough
If you're in a keeper league, you realize the value of identifying undervalued players as quickly as possible -- it's easier to acquire these hidden gems if you're the only one in your league with the inside track on their 2009 performance. Even if you're not in a keeper league, getting the biggest return on your draft picks usually involves snagging a good player late in the draft allowing you to use your earlier picks to select known producers.
I took a few minutes to see if the Sports Grumblings supercomputer, Mighty Max, could be tweaked to unearth some of those hidden gems. As is usually the case, the results were eye opening and provided some excellent insight.
I decided to use the following criteria for my search parameters:
• A three-year view of the stats (for stability)
• Players whose performance had improved each year (for quality)
• Fantasy scores which exceeded the positional average in 2008 (for significance)
Mighty Max was able to highlight several players likely to continue their upward trends. A few may be familiar, others not; according to Max, all of them will likely improve their performances in 2009.
As with all statistical analysis applied to human actions, it is not enough to just look at the numbers. You need to have an understanding of the situation of each player.
Here's the resulting set of players Max believes will continue to post improved fantasy numbers in 2009:
• Think that top-line veterans can't be considered up-and-comers? Think again. Look at players like
• The top two point scorers on the list, Suggs and
• If you're not familiar with
• After all these years, it's amazing to find
There you have it, an early look at the "Incredible IDPs" for 2009. Of course, situations change as teams go through training camp and get a better handle on their players and defensive schemes. So make it a point to visit
Until then, remember to keep your facemask up and never, ever forget to wrap up.