NFL Fantasy Forecast: Consistency rankings help in H2H leagues
One of the most difficult tasks in head-to-head fantasy leagues is trying to determine who the "hot" and "cold" players will be in any given week. You can't use historical or seasonal averages because, well... by their very definition, averages do not tell you how the average was achieved.
Years ago, I implored
Max came up with what is now a critical component of our
Who's the QB you'd want on your fantasy team? Both Chucker and Thrower have amassed 1,000 total passing yards; both average 250 yards a game.
So what is the CR, and how is it calculated?
The example above is an over-simplification. Let's look at a real-world example; let's take the cases of rookie RBs
On the surface, both players seem to have had similar performances; if anything, you might say that Forte had a slightly better year due to his better receiving skills. But for fantasy owners who had to fill out a roster every week, there is no indication of
The results might surprise you. Mighty Max took the weekly fantasy scores for both players; he produced the following CR for each player:
To a fantasy owner playing in a total points league, this information is no big deal; it's the players' total performance which matters most. But in a head-to-head league, Forte provided his owners with a more dependable scoring source than did Johnson. In fact, Forte was roughly 50 percent more consistent than Johnson.
Listed below are the five most consistent players at each offensive position, according to their 2008 weekly performances:
Of course, the CR does not make any claims to how good a player is, it just tells you how consistent he is; a really bad player may have a really good CR, i.e., he is consistently bad.
So when you're in the middle of your draft and need to make a decision between to equally productive, you may want to have the Sports Grumblings'