Fantasy Deconstruction: Broncos offense
Full disclosure -- I'm an over-the-top Broncos fan. You can only imagine what I did this offseason when
So, did you stay away from all Broncos at your drafts because of all the changes and inner-turmoil? Me too. Well, McDaniels is making us look like over-reacting chumps. The Broncos are undefeated, have the ninth best offense in the NFL, and have a host of weapons.
Let's "Deconstruct" the Broncs.
Yeah, this is what many Broncos fans were asking after McDaniels cut ties with the whining Cutler, and scooped up
Orton deserves more respect. He finished last year as the 18th ranked fantasy QB, throwing for 2,972 yards and 18 TDs, in an ultra-conservative Bears offense. More importantly, if McDaniels' offense could make
Let's get one thing straight: you can't compare Orton to Cutler. Orton simply doesn't have the same tools. Nevertheless, he is getting the job done through the short-passing game and quick screen offense that McDaniels runs. Through four games, Orton has a 68-percent completion rate, 906 passing yards, five passing TDs, and zero INTs.
Sure, Orton is not a QB1. In fact, he currently ranks as the 15th best QB. He will probably finish the year right around this slot, and he makes for an excellent bye-week fill-in or spot starter if the matchup is tasty. Orton is in a great position to have moderate success because he's running a low-risk passing offense and chucking the rock to a solid stable of receivers. Orton will have some horrendous games, though. The former Bear goes through streaks where it looks like he's targeting the chain crew rather than his own WRs. Thus, he's a risky play whenever you throw him out there.
Keep Orton on the splintered pine this week. The Patriots have the seventh-best passing defense. Further, if anyone knows how to put McDaniels' offense on lockdown, it's Belichick. Orton has struggled against blitzes up the gut this year. It's strange, but he tucks the ball away and puts his head down any time a blitzer sees daylight up the middle. Well, Belichick will be sending a Patriot army down his throat this week. It won't be pretty.
Moreno went later in fantasy drafts than expected because he was hindered by a sprained MCL at the end of preseason. For the same reason, he also got off to a slow start, posting 19 rushing yards in Week One against the Bengals. Since then, Moreno has looked better every week, and his YPC has been climbing (4.6 last week versus the Cowboys). On the year, he has 249 rushing yards, 33 receiving yards, and two total TDs.
The Georgia product currently ranks as the 23rd best RB in the land. It will only get better.
Moreno's Week 5 Outlook (vs. NE): 95 Rush YDs, 1 Rush TD, 5 Rec, 38 Rec YDs, 0 Rec TDs
Moreno is a solid RB2 play this week v. New England. The Pats have a decent rush defense (ranked 11th). Nevertheless, Moreno will get more touches in the absence of Buckhalter. McDaniels most likely will run the ball more to keep New England's offense off the field. In addition, Moreno also will play a big part in the passing game given the Patriots' "bend-but-don't-break" defensive scheme. Expect solid numbers across the board.
Marshall, a.k.a 'Baby T.O.', dropped like a cruise ship anchor at drafts because of his behavior and eventual team suspension. Fortunately for Marshall owners, eventually he learned the playbook and joined his teammates on the field.
Baby T.O. owners now have sickening grins on their faces because they grabbed a back-end WR1, or strong WR2, at a WR3 (or less) price. Marshall has nine catches for 158 yards and two scores over his last two games. He could put up mammoth numbers in this offense given his YAC ability. Well, Marshall and McDaniels may be all hugs and kisses now, but will it last when the going gets tough? Marshall is the ultimate risk/reward diva.
Nationwide "Royal alerts" have already been issued by law enforcement agencies on behalf of fantasy owners in thirty-seven states. They want to know what happened to "the next
Royal has even been splitting time with the ever-dangerous
Marshall will have an average week at best.
Scheffler's Week 5 Outlook (vs. NE): 3 Rec, 31 Rec YDs, 0 Rec YDs
Hit Bill Root with a tweet @FantasyRoots or e-mail at firstname.lastname@example.org if you have any pressing fantasy football questions.