Selling low on slow starters often not a path to fantasy fortune
Raise your hand if you thought Albert Pujols wasn't going to hit his first homer until Adam Dunn already had nine on the board. Put your hands down, you smattering of liars.
No one liked Dunn coming into the year, well, not this much. We should be believers now that last year's first season in Chicago was an aberration. Often it's Year 2 when a player shows his comfort in a new home. It can sometimes take that long for a player to adjust and feel himself. Right, Mr. Pujols?
Dunn is a .240-hitting, 40-homer, 100-RBI man-child. Assuming you can deal with the low batting average and the record strikeout pace, you have yourself a gem of a late-round pick or a waiver-wire addition. Things can turn around for players who start slow after a change of scenery.
No one is complaining about Prince Fielder, C.J. Wilson, Jonathan Papelbon or Mark Buehrle -- at least they shouldn't be, but the question is, what do we do with the likes of Pujols (.196 with just one homer and seven RBI), Jose Reyes (.234), Heath Bell (11.42 ERA and removed from the closer's role) and Mat Latos (4.93 ERA)?
Sit tight, if you own them. Buy low now, if you don't.
It doesn't have to take a year, like it did Dunn with the White Sox.
Pujols is ready to erupt. Reyes is getting hot right now, Latos was great in his last start and Bell still has some hope to redeem himself. He has to; the Marlins have $27 million reasons to hope he does.
Slow starters on other teams can be gold to a stalking fantasy owner willing to make a deal. It is an opportunity.
A warning if you own one of these slow starters and cannot wait on them to come around: It is not caveat emptor (buyer beware); it is caveat vendit (seller beware). You could have absorbed the worst and handing the best of them to someone else, double jeopardy.
Now on to the rest of Monday's look at fantasy baseball's trends of the week ...