As Selection Sunday nears, it's a huge week for bubble teams
Tech-hip people likely are familiar with the term WYSIWYG, or "what you see is what you get," where the system produces an end document that looks very similar to what's currently on the screen.
With less than two weeks until Selection Sunday, what you see today is definitively
This week, that will especially be true in the Big East and ACC. Here's a quick primer on some of this week's biggest bubble games from all around the nation:
Housekeeping note: On Thursday, we'll have an update. Starting next Monday, the Bubble Watch and the bracket will go daily through Selection Sunday.
Duke is the potential prime benefactor from the knee injury to Purdue's
In bubble news, there is a lot to be settled. Going 9-7 in the ACC this season is not a golden ticket in all cases. A lot of the bubble teams play this week, so the pecking order will be a lot clearer next week.
Kansas stumbled at Oklahoma State, but remains solidly entrenched as a 1-seed for the NCAAs. Wednesday's date with K-State should be big fun. The Aggies join the lock party after handling Texas at home, and Texas even moves back in after splitting the week. With five wins in the RPI top 27 and at least a .500 league mark, the 'Horns are fine. Baylor also got two more wins and is at nine Big 12 wins plus 9-4 vs RPI top 50. The bigger news was Oklahoma State's win, which moves the league much closer to seven bids.
After the Golden Eagles, this is a gigantic mess to figure out...
It's only one game, against a good team, but Purdue's debut without
In 2006, Missouri State was No. 21 in the RPI, finishing 20-8 overall and 12-6 in the Missouri Valley, which was rated No. 6 in Conference RPI. The Bears finished 4-8 vs. the RPI top 50 and didn't have a loss outside that category. They lost in the Missouri Valley quarterfinals in a 4-5 game and were left out of the NCAAs (rightfully so, according to that season's Bubble Watch).
By comparison, Cal currently is No. 21 in the RPI, is 20-9 overall and 12-5 in the Pac-10, which is currently No. 8 in Conference RPI. The Golden Bears are 0-4 vs. the RPI top 50 and have five losses outside that category.
The moral of the story? Cal did what it needed to do, beating the Arizona schools at home to clinch at least a share of the Pac-10. The Golden Bears can't rest on their laurels, though. They need to keep winning in case they don't get the auto-bid.
No reason to wait on the Vols anymore after the convincing upset of Kentucky. What else goes on in this conference should be really interesting.
These three are in after Xavier's pulsating double-overtime win over Richmond on Sunday. Now the question is will anyone else join them? All three bubble teams lost games this week and URI's and Charlotte's losses were very questionable. Richmond plays both Charlotte and Dayton, so the Spiders will have a big say.
I now favor this following order for the next three, barely. Having seen all of the teams multiple times, I think Dayton's the best of them. The Flyers have a good set of quality wins (including over Charlotte by 28) and some really tough losses. Charlotte gets the nod next based on quality wins and league standing over Rhode Island, which beat Dayton on the road by a point but doesn't have much else.
Old Dominion wins the league. The conference tournament should be amazing, starting with the 3-6 and 4-5 quarterfinals. It all could be for just one bid. Crazy.
Despite several other quality teams, there's no one else in this league that has legit at-large hopes.
New Mexico got a huge win at BYU and now looks poised to push its league rival out of the West region. Yes,
UNI blew some seeding with an unfortunate loss at Evansville, but still should be fine for the NCAAs.
UTEP leads the league by two games, but isn't in the clear. A decisive league title could be crucial for the Miners (and, on the downside, for UAB).
IN THE MIX
Both teams continue to play for seeding. Will anyone else push their way into this group?