MMQB Mail: Eagles get first-round value for McNabb; Stallworth retort
While we can debate the wisdom/insanity of trading an in-his-prime quarterback within the division to a rival that desperately needs a QB, we won't know for two or three years whether Eagles coach
We can, however, make some judgments about the compensation level Reid got from Washington (a second-round pick in this year's draft and either a third- or fourth-round pick next year.) And in that, we can get into some pretty good arguments.
From the fans in Philly unhappy with getting "just a second-rounder and something next year'' for McNabb, I'd say that's a pretty silly way to look at it. The second-round pick is the fifth pick in the round, the 37th overall, in what most football people think is somewhere between a good to very good draft. The third/fourth-rounder next year is currency, a chip for a Philadelphia team that aggressively trades picks and players and is married to no one.
The Eagles could have traded McNabb to at least two other teams for a second-round pick straight-up, I'm told. I'm assuming those are Oakland and Buffalo. Instead, they got a better second-round pick, plus a future middle-of-the-draft choice.
Let's look at the value they acquired using
• The value of the 37th pick this year on the trade chart is 530 points. Using my math, let's inflate that by 10 percent, or 53 points, and give this pick a value of 583 points.
• The value of the 97th pick on the trade chart is 112 points.
• The total value, then, from the McNabb deal is 695 points. That translates to about the 26th overall pick in the draft. (This year, the Cards pick 26th, with a value of 700 points for the pick, and Dallas picks 27th, with a value of 680 points.)
I understand that if I'm inflating this year's pick, it stands to reason that the 26th pick would have an inflated value too. But I inflate because I know the Eagles could well use the 37th pick as trade bait, and there's a good chance it will have more value in dealing for a future pick (a first-round pick in next year's draft, for example).
Philadelphia has dealt a second-round pick for a one the following year. And with such a strong crop atop the draft, it would stand to reason that the 37th pick in 2010 would be worth a first-rounder in 2011 to many teams. So if McNabb ends up being worth picks in the middle of round one and middle of round three, for example, in 2011, then we'd be talking about much greater value than we're talking about now.
The Eagles had three quarterbacks in the last year of their contracts. They wanted to keep
If I told you that you could get the 26th pick for a player you felt like you really wanted to trade, wouldn't you think that's a good deal? I would -- even if the player ends up on a division rival -- if you're confident the player you have is better, and if you're confident the player you're trading has enough inadequacies to his game that you don't think he can hurt you.
That last point is probably the key to this trade. And only Reid and the coaches closest to him know if it's true. You can be sure of one thing: Eagle fans will remind them, quite loudly, if they erred.
I appreciate the flood of e-mails and Tweets about
A California Highway Patrol officer in northern California,
Fair point. I checked out the California Highway Patrol website and used
He'll be the backup to
Mayhew got high grades among his peers for the compensation he got from Dallas for wideout
Possible if they trade down, but unlikely if they stay at two. My belief is the two defensive tackles -- a position of great need for the Lions -- are such strong value that Detroit would take their DT of choice at two and then take an offensive tackle with the second-round pick.