How will the MLS playoffs unfold? Here are one man's predictions
The 2012 MLS playoffs kick off on Wednesday when Chicago hosts Houston in the Eastern Conference knockout game (9 p.m. ET, ESPN2), the first of 15 postseason matches involving 10 teams and concluding with the MLS Cup final on December 1. SI.com's Avi Creditor has a
Big picture, I like the MLS playoffs. There's a greater sense of urgency than in the regular season, and the postseason has given us some of the league's most memorable games over the years. This year we're already guaranteed to see two great rivalry matchups in the conference semis (Salt Lake-Seattle and D.C. United-New York), and a third is a likely possibility in San Jose-Los Angeles. Here's my take on what will happen:
Neither team is coming into the playoffs on a high, but Chicago has shown a greater propensity for poor performances at unlikely times, and many of Houston's starters rested in the season finale against Colorado. This is going to be a tight game in which one play makes the difference, and I like Houston's Brad Davis or Oscar Boniek García to provide it.
I know, I know, anything can happen in one game. But Vancouver fell ass-backward into the playoffs, winning just one of its last 10, and L.A. may be the league's top team at the moment. It's hard to see a veteran-laden team like L.A. losing at home here.
K.C. is still smarting from its home loss to Houston in last year's East final, but Sporting has learned from that experience and has more late-season fitness to play its punishing style than it did at this time last year.
Give D.C. coach Ben Olsen credit for guiding United to the playoffs without its best player (Dwayne De Rosario), but it says here New York will ride a virtuoso Thierry Henry performance to the next round.
In a one-game home-field situation, San Jose would be my pick. But this is 180 minutes against a playoff-tested L.A. side that has been playing more like a Bruce Arena-coached team in recent months.
Seattle fans are hungry for their first MLS playoff series win, but Salt Lake is not a good matchup for the Sounders, who are dealing with their second straight season with a key injury on the eve of the playoffs (Eddie Johnson this year, Mauro Rosales last year). Too much déjà vu going on here.
Maybe it comes from seeing K.C. put two quick ones past the Red Bulls in Jersey not long ago. Maybe it comes from Sporting's greater consistency and an ability to frustrate its foes, or perhaps it's the late-season distraction surrounding New York coach Hans Backe, who's almost certain to lose his job. But there are plenty of reasons to lean toward K.C. in this series.
If I'm being honest, I expected more from this group of Salt Lake players after they won MLS Cup 2009 and reached the final of the CONCACAF Champions League in 2011. But this series presents a golden opportunity over two legs to regain some of the mystique this team seemed to be acquiring a couple years ago. Expecting a classic.
It would be fitting if the new crown jewel of U.S. soccer stadiums in Kansas City gets to host MLS's marquee game. It could also be bitterly cold on December 1, which would bring another element into play. This Kansas City team has felt like a special one from the start this season, and Sporting's league-best defense will prove it again here as K.C. does the double, adding the MLS Cup to the U.S. Open Cup.