Tuesday January 18th, 2011

2011 NCAA Tournament Projection
In this bracket, the East matches up with the Southwest, the Southeast with the West in the national semifinals.

With the addition of three at-large spots (increasing the field to 68 teams), there are now four play-in games, dubbed the "First Four." Two games will match the tournaments lowest seeds, Nos. 65 through 68, with the winners claiming a No. 16 seed. The other two games will feature the last four teams of the 37 at-large qualifiers, with the winners likely receiving No. 11 or 12 seeds.

The top-four seeds in each region, starting with the No. 1 seeds, receive geographic preference when possible. An imbalance in high seeds between regions (e.g. if more than two top-four seeds are closest to the same subregional location) may force a protected seed into a secondary location.

League winners (automatic qualifiers) are listed with their conference for clarity. Auto-bid winners in traditional one-bid leagues are determined by the best RPI from the team(s) with the fewest league losses. Teams can be moved a seed line up or down to conform to bracketing rules.

 
 
EAST - Newark, N.J.
 
Cleveland
 
1Pittsburgh (Big East)
16Chattanooga (SoCon)/Texas So. (SWAC)
 
 
8Old Dominion
9Central Florida
 
 
Denver
 
5Wisconsin
12Oakland (Summit)
 
 
4Texas
13Valparaiso (Horizon)
 
 
Chicago
 
6Louisville
11Utah State (WAC)
 
 
3Missouri
14Ball State (MAC)
 
 
Charlotte
 
7Tennessee
10Saint Mary's (West Coast)
 
 
2Duke (Atlantic Coast)
15Coastal Carolina (Big South)
 
SOUTHEAST - New Orleans
 
Cleveland
 
1Ohio State (Big Ten)
16Austin Peay (Ohio Valley)
 
 
8Boston College
9Cincinnati
 
 
Charlotte
 
5Vanderbilt
12Harvard (Ivy)
 
 
4West Virginia
13UAB (Conference USA)
 
 
Tucson
 
6Minnesota
11Miami (Fla.)
 
 
3BYU
14Bucknell (Patriot)
 
 
Washington D.C.
 
7Washington (Pac-10)
10Xavier (Atlantic 10)
 
 
2Connecticut
15Florida Atlantic (Sun Belt)
 
 
 
 
 
SOUTHWEST - San Antonio
 
Tulsa
 
1Kansas (Big 12)
16McNeese State (Southland)
 
 
8Temple
9Georgia
 
 
Chicago
 
5Illinois
12Florida State/Colorado
 
 
4Notre Dame
13James Madison (Colonial
 
 
Tulsa
 
6Florida
11Virginia Tech/Butler
 
 
3Texas A&M
14Belmont (Atlantic Sun)
 
 
Tucson
 
7St. John's
10Washington State
 
 
2San Diego State (Mountain West)
15Northern Colorado (Big Sky)
 
WEST - Anaheim
 
Washington D.C.
 
1Syracuse
16Long Island (NEC)/Morgan St. (MEAC)
 
 
8UNLV
9Arizona
 
 
Denver
 
5Georgetown
12Missouri State (Missouri Valley)
 
 
4Purdue
13Vermont (America East)
 
 
Tampa
 
6Michigan State
11Kansas State
 
 
3Villanova
14Iona (MAAC)
 
 
Tampa
 
7Gonzaga
10North Carolina
 
 
2Kentucky (SEC)
15Long Beach State (Big West)
 
 

Last four out: Richmond, Marquette, Maryland, Dayton.

New at-large teams in: Florida State, Miami, Colorado, Virginia Tech, Washington State, Butler (no auto).

At-large teams out: Oklahoma State, Richmond, Maryland, Marquette, Dayton, USC.

Bids by conference: Big East (10); ACC, Big 12 and Big Ten (6); SEC (5); Pac-10 and Mountain West (3); Atlantic 10, Conference USA, Horizon, West Coast and Colonial (2).

For more in-depth analysis, check out the Bubble Watch.

Got a bone to pick with the Bracket Watch? Send feedback to bubblewatch@gmail.com.
 

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