Tuesday's Projection: VCU receives final at-large bid ... for now
|2011 NCAA Tournament Projection|
Notable developments: I moved VCU, despite its loss, ahead of Colorado for the final at-large. I don't think VCU's profile can hold up to a week's worth of high-major teams tacking on wins, however.
Last four out: Colorado, Saint Mary's, Clemson, Memphis.
New at-large teams in: VCU (as final team in).
At-large teams out: Colorado (as final team out).
Bids by conference: Big East (11); Big Ten and SEC (6); ACC and Big 12 (5); Atlantic 10, Colonial, Mountain West and Pac-10 (3); Horizon (2).
League winners (automatic qualifiers) are listed with their conference for clarity.
In this bracket, the East matches up with the West, the Southeast with the Southwest in the national semifinals.
* Team officially won its league's automatic bid.
With the addition of three at-large spots (increasing the field to 68 teams), there are now four play-in games, dubbed the "First Four." Two games will match the tournament's lowest seeds, Nos. 65 through 68, with the winners claiming a No. 16 seed. The other two games will feature the last four teams of the 37 at-large qualifiers, with the winners likely receiving No. 11 or 12 seeds.
The top-four seeds in each region, starting with the No. 1 seeds, receive geographic preference when possible. An imbalance in high seeds between regions (e.g. if more than two top-four seeds are closest to the same subregional location) may force a protected seed into a secondary location.
Projected auto-bid winners in traditional one-bid leagues are determined by the best RPI from the team(s) with the fewest league losses. Teams can be moved a seed line up or down to conform to bracketing rules.
For more in-depth analysis, check out the Bubble Watch.
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