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Duke, Kansas, Ohio State and Syracuse own early No. 1 seeds

2011 NCAA Tournament Projection
In this bracket, the Southeast matches up with the Southwest, the East with the West in the national semifinals.

With the addition of three at-large spots (increasing the field to 68 teams), there are now four play-in games, dubbed the "First Four." Two games will match the tournaments lowest seeds, Nos. 65 through 68, with the winners claiming a No. 16 seed. The other two games will feature the last four teams of the 37 at-large qualifiers, with the winners likely receiving No. 11 or 12 seeds.

The top-four seeds in each region, starting with the No. 1 seeds, receive geographic preference when possible. An imbalance in high seeds between regions (e.g. if more than two top-four seeds are closest to the same subregional location) may force a protected seed into a secondary location.

League winners (automatic qualifiers) are listed with their conference for clarity. Teams can be moved a seed line up or down to conform to bracketing rules. Auto bids in traditional one-bid leagues were determined by RPI, even if league games have been played (e.g. Morehead State has defeated Murray State in the Ohio Valley).

 
 
SOUTHEAST - New Orleans
 
Cleveland
 
1Ohio State (Big Ten)
16Hampton (MEAC)
 
 
8West Virginia
9Central Florida
 
 
Denver
 
5Boston College
12Kent State (MAC)
 
 
4Missouri
13Utah State (WAC)
 
 
Tampa
 
6Louisville
11Miami (Fla.)
 
 
3Kentucky (SEC)
14Iona (MAAC)
 
 
Washington D.C.
 
7Wisconsin
10Gonzaga
 
 
2Connecticut
15Coastal Carolina (Big South)
 
EAST - Newark, N.J.
 
Charlotte
 
1Duke (ACC)
16American (Patriot)/Jackson State (SWAC)
 
 
8UNLV
9Memphis
 
 
Tucson
 
5Texas
12Butler/Cincinnati
 
 
4Purdue
13Murray State (Ohio Valley)
 
 
Chicago
 
6Notre Dame
11Wichita State (Missouri Valley)
 
 
3Michigan State
14UC Santa Barbara (Big West)
 
 
Cleveland
 
7Baylor
10Richmond
 
 
2Pittsburgh
15Sam Houston State (Southland)
 
 
 
 
 
SOUTHWEST - San Antonio
 
Tulsa
 
1Kansas (Big 12)
16Florida Atlantic (Sun Belt)
 
 
8North Carolina
9Old Dominion (Colonial)
 
 
Chicago
 
5Tennessee
12Oklahoma St./Xavier
 
 
4Illinois
13Princeton (Ivy)
 
 
Tucson
 
6Minnesota
11Cleveland State (Horizon)
 
 
3San Diego State (Mountain West)
14Portland (West Coast)
 
 
Charlotte
 
7Washington (Pac-10)
10Florida State
 
 
2Georgetown
15Appalachian State (SoCon)
 
WEST - Anaheim
 
Washington D.C.
 
1Syracuse (Big East)
16No. Arizona (Big Sky)/Lipscomb (A-Sun)
 
 
8Vanderbilt
9Maryland
 
 
Denver
 
5Texas A&M
12Southern Miss. (Conference USA)
 
 
4Temple (Atlantic 10)
13Vermont (America East)
 
 
Tampa
 
6BYU
11Virginia
 
 
3Villanova
14Oakland (Summit)
 
 
Tulsa
 
7Florida
10Arizona
 
 
2Kansas State
15Robert Morris (Northeast)
 
 

Last four out: Northwestern, Virginia Tech, Washington State, Marquette.

Multi-bid conferences: Big East (9); ACC and Big 12 (7); Big Ten (6), SEC (4); Atlantic 10, Mountain West and Conference USA (3); Pac-10, Horizon and West Coast (2).

This early in the process, there is still a good amount of subjectivity involved in determining the value of a team's performance and/or its computer profile. There are also a few deserving teams that are getting squeezed because teams like Southern Mississippi are technically in line for an auto bid.

For more in-depth analysis, check out the Bubble Watch.

Got a bone to pick with the Bracket Watch? Send feedback to bubblewatch@gmail.com.
 
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