Tuesday December 27th, 2011

2012 NCAA Tournament Projection
 
 
EAST - Boston
 
Greensboro
 
1Duke* (ACC)
16Miss. Valley St. (SWAC)/Maine* (Am. East)
 
 
8Murray State* (Ohio Valley)
9Saint Joseph's* (Atlantic 10)
 
 
Portland
 
5Georgetown
12Marshall
 
 
4Indiana
13Cal/Dayton
 
 
Columbus
 
6Michigan
11Saint Louis
 
 
3Connecticut
14Davidson* (SoCon)
 
 
Nashville
 
7Northern Iowa* (Missouri Valley)
10Virginia
 
 
2Florida
15New Mexico State* (WAC)
 
SOUTH - Atlanta
 
Louisville
 
1Kentucky
16Norfolk State* (MEAC)
 
 
8Seton Hall
9Florida State
 
 
Portland
 
5Michigan State
12Texas
 
 
4UNLV* (Mountain West)
13Long Beach State* (Big West)
 
 
Omaha
 
6Xavier
11Purdue
 
 
3Marquette
14VCU* (Colonial)
 
 
Omaha
 
7Vanderbilt
10Illinois
 
 
2Baylor* (Big 12)
15Lamar* (Southland)
 
 
 
 
 
WEST - Phoenix
 
Pittsburgh
 
1Syracuse* (Big East)
16South Dakota State* (Summit)
 
 
8Temple
9Alabama* (SEC)
 
 
Alburquerque
 
5Mississippi State
12Memphis
 
 
4Kansas
13Belmont
 
 
Louisville
 
6Gonzaga* (West Coast)
11Wichita State
 
 
3Wisconsin
14Denver* (Sun Belt)
 
 
Greensboro
 
7West Virginia
10Ohio* (MAC)
 
 
2North Carolina
15Wagner* (Northeast)
 
MIDWEST - St. Louis
 
Pittsburgh
 
1Ohio State
16Charleston So.* (Big South)/Weber St.* (Big Sky)
 
 
8San Diego State
9Pittsburgh
 
 
Albuquerque
 
5Creighton
12Arizona* (Pac-12)
 
 
4Kansas State
13Saint Mary's/Northwestern
 
 
Columbus
 
6Minnesota* (Big Ten)
11Harvard* (Ivy)
 
 
3Missouri
14Cleveland State* (Horizon)
 
 
Nashville
 
7Southern Miss* (Conference USA)
10Iona* (MAAC)
 
 
2Louisville
15Bucknell* (Patriot)
 
 

Last four in: California, Dayton, Northwestern, Saint Mary's.
Last four out: New Mexico, BYU, Indiana State, Stanford.

Bids by conference: Big Ten (9); Big East (8); Big 12, SEC, Atlantic 10 (5); ACC (4); C-USA, Missouri Valley (3); West Coast, Mountain West, Pac-12 (2)

Notes: Bids don't go by conference, but things will normalize once conference play begins. It will be very difficult for the Big Ten to get nine of 12 teams in, and I'd expect the Mountain West and Atlantic 10 to be closer to three bids each than a three-bid gap.

For more in-depth analysis, check out the Bubble Watch.

Got a bone to pick with the Bracket Watch? Send feedback to bubblewatch@gmail.com.
 

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