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Kansas, Texas, Kentucky, Duke projected as top seeds in first Watch

2010 NCAA Tournament Bracket Watch
It's never too early to start projecting the field. Note: The top-four seeds in each region, starting with the No. 1 seeds, receive geographic preference when possible. An imbalance in high seeds between regions (e.g. if more than two top-four seeds are closest to the same subregional location) may force a protected seed into a secondary location. Thus, in the coming weeks, shifts in seeding will alter which subregions fall into which regions. In this bracket, the South matches up with the West, the East with the Midwest.
 
 
SOUTH - Houston
 
Oklahoma City
 
1Texas
16Belmont (Atlantic Sun)
 
 
8Clemson
9VCU
 
 
San Jose
 
5Florida
12Seton Hall
 
 
4Michigan State
13Western Carolina (SoCon)
 
 
New Orleans
 
6Wisconsin
11Dayton
 
 
3North Carolina
14Austin Peay (OVC)
 
 
Buffalo
 
7Butler
10Richmond
 
 
2Syracuse
15Sam Houston St. (Southland)
 
EAST - Syracuse
 
New Orleans
 
1Kentucky
16Stony Brook (America East)
 
 
8Florida St.
9Saint Mary's (WCC)
 
 
Providence
 
5Texas A&M
12William & Mary (CAA)
 
 
4Connecticut
13IUPUI (Summit)
 
 
Buffalo
 
6Ohio St.
11Missouri St. (MVC)
 
 
3Temple
14Louisiana Tech (WAC)
 
 
Jacksonville
 
7Gonzaga
10Cornell (Ivy)
 
 
2West Virginia
15Radford (Big South)
 
 
 
 
 
WEST - Salt Lake City
 
Jacksonville
 
1Duke
16Army (Patriot)
 
 
8Texas Tech
9Saint John's
 
 
San Jose
 
5California
12UAB
 
 
4Mississippi
13Western Kentucky (Sun Belt)
 
 
Spokane
 
6UNLV
11Rhode Island
 
 
3Washington
14Long Beach St. (Big West)
 
 
Providence
 
7Minnesota
10Northern Iowa
 
 
2Villanova
15Morgan St. (MEAC)
 
MIDWEST - St. Louis
 
Oklahoma City
 
1Kansas
16Sacred Heart (NEC)/Texas So. (SWAC)
 
 
8Mississippi St.
9Tulsa
 
 
Spokane
 
5New Mexico
12Northwestern
 
 
4Georgetown
13Southern Miss (C-USA)
 
 
Milwaukee
 
6Tennessee
11Siena (MAAC)
 
 
3Kansas St.
14Buffalo (MAC)
 
 
Milwaukee
 
7Pittsburgh
10Georgia Tech
 
 
2Purdue
15Montana St. (Big Sky)
 
 

Also considered: Cincinnati, Xavier, Wake Forest, Miami (Fla.), Washington State, San Diego State, Oklahoma State, North Carolina State, Virginia Tech, BYU. No teams with an RPI over 100 (according to CollegeRPI.com) were considered.

Bids by conference: Big East (8); Big Ten (6); Big 12, ACC and SEC (5); Atlantic 10 (4); Conference USA (3); Pac-10, Colonial, Mountain West, West Coast, Missouri Valley (2). Auto bids in smaller conferences were determined by best RPI among first-place (e.g. undefeated) teams in the league. Teams can be moved a seed line up or down to conform to bracketing rules.

Quick thoughts:
* Remember, this is a comparison of profiles (even with a healthy dose of subjectivity included at this point). I have been more impressed by Syracuse so far, but I think the committee would tab Duke as the final No. 1 seed right now. Likewise, teams like Cincinnati and Xavier have shown well at times, but their overall profiles aren't as compelling as some others ... yet.
* There are nine at-large teams from outside the six BCS conferences. This is high given the trend of the last few years, but that's partly because teams like Southern Miss grab auto bids based on RPI.
* The A-10 is clearly the sixth-best conference this season, ahead of the Pac-10, which already looks like it could easily wind up with only two bids. That's how bad it's been in that league so far.
* The ACC feels light with only five teams in, but teams from other leagues have done more work than the middle of the ACC thus far.
* For the next few weeks, expect to see some wild swings and some relative seedings that, on the surface, can be argued the other way. Bodies of work are still relatively small, so one big win or loss can really change a profile and a team's relative standing.

Got a bone to pick with the Bracket Watch? Send feedback to bubblewatch@gmail.com.
 
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