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Duke returns to top seed line; two No. 2 seeds for Mountain West

2011 NCAA Tournament Projection
In this bracket, the East matches up with the West, the Southeast with the Southwest in the national semifinals.

This week's notable moves:

• Pitt remains the No. 1 overall seed.

• BYU moves into the 2-seed line, giving the Mountain West two No. 2 seeds (along with San Diego State).

• St. John's goes from a No. 7 seed to a 4.

With the addition of three at-large spots (increasing the field to 68 teams), there are now four play-in games, dubbed the "First Four." Two games will match the tournaments lowest seeds, Nos. 65 through 68, with the winners claiming a No. 16 seed. The other two games will feature the last four teams of the 37 at-large qualifiers, with the winners likely receiving No. 11 or 12 seeds.

The top-four seeds in each region, starting with the No. 1 seeds, receive geographic preference when possible. An imbalance in high seeds between regions (e.g. if more than two top-four seeds are closest to the same subregional location) may force a protected seed into a secondary location.

League winners (automatic qualifiers) are listed with their conference for clarity. Auto-bid winners in traditional one-bid leagues are determined by the best RPI from the team(s) with the fewest league losses. Teams can be moved a seed line up or down to conform to bracketing rules.

 
 
EAST - Newark, N.J.
 
Cleveland
 
1Pittsburgh (Big East)
16Montana (Big Sky)/Texas So. (SWAC)
 
 
8Florida State
9Illinois
 
 
Denver
 
5Arizona (Pac-10)
12Marquette
 
 
4Vanderbilt
13Harvard (Ivy)
 
 
Chicago
 
6Syracuse
11Boston College
 
 
3Purdue
14Belmont (Atlantic Sun)
 
 
Tulsa
 
7UNLV
10Saint Mary's (West Coast)
 
 
2Texas (Big 12)
15Vermont (America East)
 
SOUTHEAST - New Orleans
 
Cleveland
 
1Ohio State (Big Ten)
16Florida Atlantic (Sun Belt)
 
 
8UCLA
9Georgia
 
 
Tampa
 
5North Carolina
12Cleveland State (Horizon)
 
 
4St. John's
13UTEP (C-USA)
 
 
Washington, D.C.
 
6Xavier (Atlantic 10)
11VCU
 
 
3Connecticut
14Bucknell (Patriot)
 
 
Denver
 
7Missouri
10Minnesota
 
 
2BYU (Mountain West)
15Long Island (Northeast)
 
 
 
 
 
WEST - Anaheim
 
Charlotte
 
1Duke (ACC)
16Beth.-Cook. (MEAC)/McNeese St. (Southland)
 
 
8Old Dominion
9Utah State (WAC)
 
 
Washington, D.C.
 
5Kentucky
12Missouri State (Missouri Valley)
 
 
4Villanova
13Coll. of Charleston (SoCon)
 
 
Chicago
 
6Texas A&M
11Butler/Memphis
 
 
3Notre Dame
14Kent State (MAC)
 
 
Tucson
 
7Temple
10Cincinnati
 
 
2San Diego State
15Coastal Carolina (Big Sky)
 
SOUTHWEST - San Antonio
 
Tulsa
 
1Kansas
16Long Beach State (Big West)
 
 
8Tennessee
9Washington
 
 
Tucson
 
5Louisville
12Richmond/Gonzaga
 
 
4Wisconsin
13Oakland (Summit)
 
 
Tampa
 
6West Virginia
11Kansas State
 
 
3Florida (SEC)
14Fairfield (MAAC)
 
 
Charlotte
 
7George Mason (Colonial)
10Michigan State
 
 
2Georgetown
15Morehead State (Ohio Valley)
 
 

Last four out: Virginia Tech, Alabama, Baylor, Clemson.

New at-large teams in: VCU, Kansas State, Gonzaga, Butler.

At-large teams out: Virginia Tech, Baylor, Colorado, Colorado State.

Bids by conference: Big East (11); Big Ten (6); Big 12 and SEC (5); ACC (4); Mountain West, Pac-10, Colonial and Atlantic 10 (3); Conference USA, Horizon and West Coast (2).

Seed changes: To ease bracket conflicts, Syracuse and Arizona switched 5/6, while Marquette and the Butler/Memphis first-round game switched 11/12.

For more in-depth analysis, check out the Bubble Watch.

Got a bone to pick with the Bracket Watch? Send feedback to bubblewatch@gmail.com.
 
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