Tuesday March 9th, 2010

2010 NCAA Tournament Projection
In this bracket, the Midwest matches up with the West, the South with the East in the national semifinals.

Note: The top-four seeds in each region, starting with the No. 1 seeds, receive geographic preference when possible. An imbalance in high seeds between regions (e.g. if more than two top-four seeds are closest to the same subregional location) may force a protected seed into a secondary location. Thus, in the next couple weeks, shifts in seeding will alter which subregions fall into which regions.

* -- automatic qualifier
 
 
MIDWEST - Saint Louis
 
Oklahoma City
 
1Kansas
16East Tennessee State* (Atlantic Sun)
 
 
8Louisville
9Florida State
 
 
Providence
 
5Vanderbilt
12San Diego State
 
 
4Georgetown
13Siena* (MAAC)
 
 
Spokane
 
6Xavier
11Virginia Tech
 
 
3Pittsburgh
14Sam Houston State (Southland)
 
 
Milwaukee
 
7Northern Iowa* (Missouri Valley)
10Oklahoma State
 
 
2Purdue
15UC Santa Barbara (Big West)
 
SOUTH - Houston
 
Buffalo
 
1Syracuse
16Jackson State (SWAC)/Lehigh (Patriot)
 
 
8UNLV
9Utah State (WAC)
 
 
New Orleans
 
5Maryland
12Illinois
 
 
4Baylor
13Mississippi
 
 
Oklahoma City
 
6Richmond
11Cornell* (Ivy)
 
 
3Kansas State
14Oakland (Summit)
 
 
Buffalo
 
7Clemson
10Notre Dame
 
 
2Ohio State
15Morgan State (MEAC)
 
 
 
 
 
WEST - Salt Lake City
 
Jacksonville
 
1West Virginia
16Winthrop* (Big South)
 
 
8Gonzaga
9Old Dominion* (Colonial)
 
 
Spokane
 
5Texas A&M
12Georgia Tech
 
 
4Tennessee
13Murray State* (Ohio Valley)
 
 
San Jose
 
6Michigan State
11Florida
 
 
3New Mexico (Mountain West)
14Weber State (Big Sky)
 
 
Jacksonville
 
7Butler
10Marquette
 
 
2Duke
15Vermont (America East)
 
EAST- Syracuse
 
Milwaukee
 
1Kentucky
16Quinnipiac (Northeast)
 
 
8Missouri
9Saint Mary's* (West Coast)
 
 
San Jose
 
5BYU
12Seton Hall
 
 
4Temple
13Kent State (MAC)
 
 
New Orleans
 
6Texas
11California
 
 
3Wisconsin
14Wofford* (SoCon)
 
 
Providence
 
7Wake Forest
10UTEP (Conference USA)
 
 
2Villanova
15North Texas (Sun Belt)
 
 

New multibid conference teams in: None.

Multibid conference teams out: None.

Also considered: Memphis, Arizona State, Washington, Rhode Island, Mississippi State, UAB, South Florida, Dayton.

Bids by conference: Big East (9), ACC and Big 12 (7), Big Ten and SEC (5), Mountain West (4), Atlantic 10 (3), West Coast (2).

One-bid league winners and select other auto-bid teams are listed with their conference for clarity. Teams can be moved a seed line up or down to conform to bracketing rules.

SEEDING NOTES

On Monday night, I undertook a through reevaluation of all seeds in the 1-12 lines and tried to reconcile some gaps that had appeared both between teams in the same conference and teams with similar resumes from different leagues. Here are some of the modest adjustments made:

-- Villanova and Kansas State swapped spots at the 2/3 flex point.

-- Wisconsin moved up to a 3 instead of Temple, which drops to a 4. The Badgers' bump was injury credit for the return of Jon Leuer.

-- Michigan State moved from a borderline 4/5 down to a 6. Tennessee and Vandy benefited with bumps up a seed line.

-- Wake Forest moved from an 8/9 to a 7. I was being a bit harsh on the Demon Deacons.

-- Marquette and Oklahoma State remain natural 9s but were pushed to 10s by bracket conflicts.

-- Saint Mary's win over Gonzaga moved the Gaels from a natural 11 to a natural 10 and dropped the Zags from a 7 to an 8.

-- Cal should be a natural 10 and Notre Dame an 11, but bracketing rules required a swap.

Obviously, a lot will change between now and Sunday, but I think these tweaks provide a more accurate platform off of which to judge postseason work.

Got a bone to pick with the Bracket Watch? Send feedback to bubblewatch@gmail.com.
 

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