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Kansas, Kentucky, Duke, Texas keep top seeds in latest Watch

2010 NCAA Tournament Bracket Watch
Selection Sunday is not until March 14, but it's never too early to see what the 2010 NCAA Tournament field looks like as of right now. Note: The top-four seeds in each region, starting with the No. 1 seeds, receive geographic preference when possible. An imbalance in high seeds between regions (e.g. if more than two top-four seeds are closest to the same subregional location) may force a protected seed into a secondary location. Thus, in the coming weeks, shifts in seeding will alter which subregions fall into which regions. In this bracket, the South matches up with the West, the East with the Midwest.
 
 
SOUTH - Houston
 
Oklahoma City
 
1Texas
16Belmont (Atlantic Sun)
 
 
8Mississippi State
9UAB (Conference USA)
 
 
San Jose
 
5UNLV
12Northwestern
 
 
4Connecticut
13Nevada
 
 
New Orleans
 
6Ohio State
11Rhode Island
 
 
3North Carolina
14Austin Peay (OVC)
 
 
Providence
 
7VCU
10St. Mary's (WCC)
 
 
2Villanova
15Morgan State (MEAC)
 
EAST - Syracuse
 
New Orleans
 
1Kentucky
16Texas San-Antonio (Southland)
 
 
8Florida St.
9Texas Tech
 
 
Providence
 
5Wisconsin
12Xavier
 
 
4Georgetown
13Siena (MAAC)
 
 
Milwaukee
 
6Butler (Horizon)
11Dayton
 
 
3Kansas State
14Buffalo (MAC)
 
 
Jacksonville
 
7Minnesota
10Cornell (Ivy)
 
 
2West Virginia
15Radford (Big South)
 
 
 
 
 
WEST - Salt Lake City
 
Jacksonville
 
1Duke
16Army (Patriot)
 
 
8Pittsburgh
9Richmond
 
 
Spokane
 
5Mississippi
12William & Mary (CAA)
 
 
4Michigan State
13Western Carolina (SoCon)
 
 
Spokane
 
6Texas A&M
11Georgia Tech
 
 
3Washington
14Long Beach St. (Big West)
 
 
Buffalo
 
7Gonzaga
10BYU
 
 
2Syracuse
15Vermont (America East)
 
MIDWEST - St. Louis
 
Oklahoma City
 
1Kansas
16Sacred Heart (NEC)/Texas So. (SWAC)
 
 
8Clemson
9USC
 
 
San Jose
 
5Tennessee
12St. John's
 
 
4California
13Western Kentucky (Sun Belt)
 
 
Buffalo
 
6New Mexico
11Northern Iowa (Missouri Valley)
 
 
3Temple
14IUPUI (Summit)
 
 
Milwaukee
 
7Florida
10Seton Hall
 
 
2Purdue
15Montana St. (Big Sky)
 
 

Also considered: Washington State, Cincinnati, Missouri State, Wake Forest, Miami (FL), San Diego State, Oklahoma State, Virginia Tech, Old Dominion, Louisville. (No teams with an RPI over 100 according to CollegeRPI.com were considered. This removed teams like Nebraska, Arizona State, Oklahoma, Illinois, Memphis and Missouri from consideration.)

Bids by conference: Big East (8); Big Ten (6); Big 12, ACC, SEC and Atlantic 10 (5); Pac-10 and Mountain West (3); Colonial and West Coast (2). Auto bids in smaller conferences were determined by best RPI among first-place (e.g. undefeated) teams in the league. Teams can be moved a seed line up or down to conform to bracketing rules.

Quick thoughts:
* In response to some e-mails from last week: Each bracket is a snapshot of that moment, not a projection. Therefore, while I might suspect a team like Louisville will end up in the Field of 65, the Cardinals' profile is not good enough today for a spot in the bracket.
* There is a gaping hole this week halfway through the 4-seed line, and that's after Georgetown moved up a line. How big is the hole? Cal actually moved up a line after losing at Kansas. That seemed the least of all evils given what went down with the 4-, 5-, and 6-seeds last week.
* For those who claim it's crazy to have Temple as a 3-seed, look at the Owls' resume, look at the resumes of the teams in the lines below them (see the point above), and realize that Xavier has been seeded that high in the past when it won the A-10.
* There are a number of high seeds -- North Carolina, Michigan State, Tennessee and Ohio State -- that have RPIs completely out of line with what you have seen on the court so far. Assumedly, that gap will close one way or the other. Florida is the biggest mystery -- a top 25 team that?s No. 92 in RPI and has lost three straight while its marquee win, Michigan State, looks less impressive right now.
* Last week, St. John's was a 10 that ended up as a 9. This week, the Red Storm are an 11 that ended up as a 12, in part because of BYU's addition to the bracket. The Cougars, who don't play on Sundays for religious reasons, must be in both a subregional and regional that plays on Thursday and Saturday. That means New Orleans, Providence, San Jose or Oklahoma City for the first two rounds, and either the East (Syracuse) or West (Salt Lake City) region.
* There are eight at-large teams from outside the BCS conferences, although it would be extremely surprising if five teams ended up making it from the A-10. The league is too deep and tough and the members don't benefit as much from inflated nonconference RPIs like BCS leagues to bolster each other.

Got a bone to pick with the Bracket Watch? Send feedback to bubblewatch@gmail.com.
 
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