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Week 12 picks include Bears-Raiders, Broncos-Chargers, Saints-Giants,


NFL Week 12
 
Sunday, Nov. 27
 
1 p.m. ET (FOX)Minnesota Vikings (2-8) at Atlanta Falcons (6-4)
Antoine Winfield lost one week, Adrian Peterson the next. Sometimes, Leslie Frazier, it's just not your year.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS)Buffalo Bills (5-5) at New York Jets (5-5)
The Bills have been so terrible the last three weeks you wonder if Ryan Fitzpatrick borrowed an entire community's good karma for two months and it suddenly ran out. Now Fitzpatrick has lost a receiver he loves, Donald Jones, for the year, and all his other weapons are banged up, and they come to the Meadowlands to play a Jets team that needs to win a game 900-0. Not a good combo platter for Buffalo this weekend.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS)Cleveland Browns (4-6) at Cincinnati Bengals (6-4)
I've gone out on a ledge and said I think the Bengals, even after losing to the AFC North powers in back-to-back weeks, will make the playoffs. I like their schedule (four home, two road), I like the fact that Cleveland, St. Louis and Arizona are on the docket, and most of all, I like the savvy quarterback.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS)Houston Texans (7-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-7)
Matt Leinart to put up 30, you say? No -- actually 20; I like the defense to force turnovers to give the Texans one defensive touchdown and or two short fields. But I don't think Leinart's going to be the disaster many others do. I don't think he'll be accurate, but I do think he'll have enough weapons, and occasionally Andre Johnson behind the defense, to acquit himself well down the stretch.
 
1 p.m. ET (FOX)Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6) at Tennessee Titans (5-5)
At some point if you're Raheem Morris, and you've benefited from GM Mark Dominik spending four top-55 picks in the last two drafts on defense, and you're a defensive guy yourself, and you see your defense has allowed 102 more points than Houston this season and 75 more points than Cleveland ... I mean, don't you walk into your Saturday night meeting before this game and say to your D, "Fellas, are you %$#&*@ kidding me?"
 
1 p.m. ET (FOX)Carolina Panthers (2-8) at Indianapolis Colts (0-10)
I noted that one of my peers said this would be the last best chance for the Colts to win a game this year. Perhaps. But to that I add: I have a better chance of being Bill Polian's first pick in the draft next April than the Colt defense has of shutting down Cam Newton.
 
1 p.m. ET (FOX)Arizona Cardinals (3-7) at St. Louis Rams (2-8)
Do I have to pick one? A winner, I mean?
 
4:05 p.m. ET (FOX)Washington Redskins (3-7) at Seattle Seahawks (4-6)
I'm starting to like the Seahawks a little bit. I really am. How do you not like Red Bryant and Earl Thomas? I see the defense stifling Washington's comatose weaponry here and Seattle getting to 5-6. That's something I never would have figured a month ago.
 
4:05 p.m. ET (FOX)Chicago Bears (7-3) at Oakland Raiders (6-4)
This goes down as the first checkmark in the "Games Chicago Would Have Won Without That Fluky Broken Thumb" column.
 
4:15 p.m. ET (CBS)Denver Broncos (5-5) at San Diego Chargers (4-6)
Sorry to begin the bubble-bursting -- and I mean that. I like Tim Tebow as a person, a presence, a leader and a football player. But as a quarterback, an every-down quarterback? Not so much. In SI this week, I wrote about Tebow, and one of the points I made was that in the four Tebow starts this year excluding the Oakland game, Denver has had 37 possessions in the first three quarters of the games -- and scored zero touchdowns. The offensive inefficiency can only last for so long, as much as I would love, love, love to see it continue because the story is so fun.
 
4:15 p.m. ET (CBS)New England Patriots (7-3) at Philadelphia Eagles (4-6)
Though LeSean McCoy will make it close with 150-plus yards of offense, this one will come down to the passing game late -- and I like Tom Brady over whoever's phlingin' it for Philly.
 
8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)Pittsburgh Steelers (7-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (4-6)
Trying to figure out whether Tyler Palko's welcome-to-the-NFL moment will be Kyle Arrington picking him off twice, or staring across the field at some point last Monday night and saying, "This is 'Monday Night Football,' the guy I'm watching is named Tom Brady, and something tells me I don?t belong" ... or, quite possibly, James Harrison blindsiding him into Nebraska here in his second straight prime-time game.
 
Monday, Nov. 28
 
8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN)New York Giants (6-4) at New Orleans Saints (7-3)
Look on the bright side, Eli: At least your parents only have to get on a streetcar to commute to this game. I don't trust the Giants to be able to stop Jimmy Graham -- or Drew Brees.
 
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