Monday January 11th, 2010

2010 NCAA Tournament Bracket Watch
Selection Sunday is not until March 14, but it's never too early to see what the 2010 NCAA Tournament field looks like as of right now. Note: The top-four seeds in each region, starting with the No. 1 seeds, receive geographic preference when possible. An imbalance in high seeds between regions (e.g. if more than two top-four seeds are closest to the same subregional location) may force a protected seed into a secondary location. Thus, in the coming weeks, shifts in seeding will alter which subregions fall into which regions. In this bracket, the South matches up with the West, the East with the Midwest.
 
 
SOUTH - Houston
 
Oklahoma City
 
1Texas
16Arkansas-Pine Bluff (SWAC)
 
 
8Ohio State
9Vanderbilt
 
 
Spokane
 
5Pittsburgh
12Florida State
 
 
4Temple
13Western Kentucky (Sun Belt)
 
 
Spokane
 
6Mississippi State
11Oklahoma State
 
 
3Michigan State
14Pacific (Big West)
 
 
Providence
 
7Clemson
10Cornell (Ivy)
 
 
2Villanova
15Oakland (Summit)
 
EAST - Syracuse
 
Milwaukee
 
1Kentucky
16Lehigh (Patriot)/LIU (NEC)
 
 
8William & Mary (CAA)
9New Mexico
 
 
Buffalo
 
5Texas A&M
12Miami (FL)
 
 
4Connecticut
13Siena (MAAC)
 
 
Providence
 
6Minnesota
11Dayton
 
 
3Georgetown
14Murray State (Ohio Valley)
 
 
Jacksonville
 
7Northern Iowa (Missouri Valley)
10Texas Tech
 
 
2Duke
15Morgan State (MEAC)
 
 
 
 
 
WEST - Salt Lake City
 
Buffalo
 
1Syracuse
16Vermont (America East)
 
 
8Mississippi
9UAB (Conference USA)
 
 
San Jose
 
5BYU
12Richmond
 
 
4Kansas State
13Louisiana Tech (WAC)
 
 
New Orleans
 
6Gonzaga
11Xavier
 
 
3North Carolina
14Northern Colorado (Big Sky)
 
 
New Orleans
 
7California (Pac-10)
10Missouri
 
 
2Purdue
15Texas-San Antonio (Southland)
 
MIDWEST - St. Louis
 
Oklahoma City
 
1Kansas
16Coastal Carolina (Big South)
 
 
8Georgia Tech
9Saint Mary's
 
 
San Jose
 
5UNLV
12Rhode Island
 
 
4Tennessee
13Kent State (MAC)
 
 
Jacksonville
 
6Butler (Horizon)
11Washington
 
 
3West Virginia
14College of Charleston (SoCon)
 
 
Milwaukee
 
7Wake Forest
10Baylor
 
 
2Wisconsin
15East Tenn. State (Atlantic Sun)
 
 

New multi-bid conference teams in: Vanderbilt, Missouri, Miami (FL), Oklahoma State.

Multi-bid conference teams out: Florida, Virginia Tech, Cincinnati, Harvard.

Also considered: Louisville, Missouri State, Seton Hall, Marquette, Illinois (No teams with an RPI over 100, according to CollegeRPI.com, were considered).

Bids by conference: Big 12 (8); ACC (7); Big East (6); Big Ten, SEC and Atlantic 10 (5); Mountain West (3); Pac-10 and West Coast (2).

Auto bids in smaller conferences were determined by best RPI among first-place (e.g. fewest losses) teams in the league. One-bid league winners and select other auto-bid teams are listed with their conference for clarity. Teams can be moved a seed line up or down to conform to bracketing rules.

Brief thoughts:

* Washington drops from a 5 seed to an 11 and very nearly missed the bracket entirely. The Huskies had been living on rep and now have three straight double-digit losses in a terrible Pac-10. Their one win of note, over Texas A&M, comes with an injury asterisk and the loss at Texas Tech is worsening. UW was one of the last two teams in this week along with Oklahoma State.

* Cal also was adjusted downward because of the weakness of the league and its home loss to UCLA.

* The odds of the actual Field of 65 having five A-10 teams are astronomical. I'd wager on A-10 3, Pac-10 2 come March.

* With Duke and Purdue losing, Syracuse edges into the last No. 1 seed by the slightest of margins. An argument for any of the three is fine.

* The gap at last week's 3-seed line moved up to consume the last 2 seed this week. Wisconsin got the slightest nod over West Virginia and Georgetown.

* The concentration of ACC teams in the 2/3/6/7 pods pushed Miami and Florida State down to 12s.

* There are seven at-large teams from outside the BCS conferences.

Got a bone to pick with the Bracket Watch? Send feedback to bubblewatch@gmail.com.
 

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