NBA Eastern Conference finals predictions
Still, this is a Miami team that is 45-3 (.938) since losing in Indiana on Feb. 1 and one that boasts the most efficient offense and defense so far during the playoffs. The big concern for the Heat is how long it takes them to adjust to real competition after breezing through the first two rounds against the sub-.500 Bucks and the injury-ravaged Bulls. The Pacers will try to muck up this series with their defense and physical play, but they have struggled to score efficiently all season long and that should catch up to them against a LeBron James-led attack that can score in every possible way.
Assuming Indiana's defense stays true to form, Miami's three-point shooters will be in for a rough series of contested looks. But the Heat still have plenty to work with in LeBron James' brilliant, wide-ranging shot creation, Dwyane Wade's complementary cutting and playmaking and Chris Bosh's mid-range mastery. The games will be close and most every Heat shot heavily contested, but the Pacers aren't likely to take enough away from the Heat to counterbalance their own offensive limitations.