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Lisa Leslie on which NBA draft prospect will be a perfect fit for the Lakers
1:13 | NBA
Lisa Leslie on which NBA draft prospect will be a perfect fit for the Lakers
Brendan Maloy
Wednesday June 24th, 2015

The NBA draft is coming up on Thursday, and while fans wade through mock drafts and scouting reports of the top prospects, we decided to go through the numbers to give fans a rough Idea of what they can expect production wise from each pick in the first round.

By taking every first rounder drafted from 2000 to 2011 and averaging their statistics over the first four years in the league (the current length of a rookie contract) we came up with a helpful, if unscientific, player composite that shows what fans can expect with each pick.

We also averaged the number of years each player spent with the team that drafted them, because it does not really do any team much good to use a draft pick on a player they will trade or cut after just one season.

• MORE DRAFT: Top 60 prospects | Mock draft | Team needs | Sleepers

No. 1 pick

Stats: 16.6 PPG, 6.9 REB, 3.4 AST, 1 STL, 1 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 41

Average years with team: 5.8

Best Case Scenario: LeBron James (Cavaliers). If you can.

Worst Case Scenario: Greg Oden (Blazers), whose name fills fans with sadness and GMs with terror.

Andrew D. Bernstein/NBAE/Getty Images

No. 2 pick

Stats: 11.8 PPG, 5.6 REB, 1.6 AST, 0.7 STL, 0.9 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 11

Average years with team: 4.4

Best Case Scenario: Kevin Durant (Sonics/Thunder), who was somehow not the number one pick but has already won one MVP award and may win more before he is done. 

Worst Case scenario: Memphis paid a high price to discover Hasheem Thabeet's shot blocking skills did not translate to the NBA.

No. 3 pick

Stats: 14 PPG, 4.9 REB, 2.7 AST, 0.8 STL, 0.6 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 26

Average years with team: 4.5

Best Case Scenario: While Carmelo Anthony may not have left Denver on the best terms, it is hard to be upset with seven-plus seasons of 24.8 points per game and 6.8 rebounds.

Worst Case Scenario: Clippers pick Darius Miles is the poster boy for a 2000 NBA draft class that many consider the worst in history.

• MORE DRAFT: Off-season questions for every team | Draft lottery history

No. 4 pick

Stats: 12.8 PPG, 5.3 REB, 3.3 AST, 1 STL, 0.6 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 22

Average Years With Team: 4.4

Best Case Scenario: Knicks fans rejoice, the fourth pick has seen some mega talent like Chris Paul, Chris Bosh, and Russell Westbrook.

Worst Case Scenario: Bulls' 2000 pick Marcus Fizer beats out the Bulls' 2001 pick Eddy Curry, although no NBA fan would like to see their draft pick compared to each other like that.

No. 5 pick

Stats: 13 PPG, 5.5 REB, 3.2 AST, 1 STL, 0.5 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 16

Average Years With Team: 4.5

Best Case Scenario: No player on this list has given the team that drafted them more than Dwyane Wade who has remained with the Heat through 12 seasons, although there is some rumbling that a dozen years in South Beach may be it for Wade with the Heat.

Worst Case: Georgian superstar Nikoloz Tskitishvili, who averaged a whopping 2.9 points per game in his nearly three years with the Nuggets.

No. 6 pick

Stats: 9.6 PPG, 4 REB, 1.8 AST, 0.7 STL, 0.6 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 4

Average Years With Team: 3.5

Best Case Scenario: Brandon Roy (Blazers) is definitely the best player taken with this pick, although injuries robbed him of a full NBA career.

Worst Case scenario: DerMarr Johnson (Hawks), another member of the often, and fairly, maligned draft class of 2000.

Greg Nelson for Sports Illustrated

No. 7 pick

Stats: 12.2 PPG, 5.1 REB, 2.5 AST, 1 STL, 0.7 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 4

Average Years With Team: 4.8

Best Case Scenario: Stephen Curry (Warriors), who is very good at basketball.

Worst Case Scenario: Chris Mihm (Bulls). A serviceable backup center is not a bad thing to have, but you would probably rather have Curry.

• MORE NBA: Warriors' title package: Commemorative book, framed cover

No. 8 pick

Stats: 8.4 PPG, 4.3 REB, 1.7 AST, 0.7 STL, 0.5 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 0

Average Years With Team: 2.5

Best Case Scenario: Rudy Gay (Grizzlies) is a proven NBA scorer, even if he may not have lived up to a hefty contract.

Worst Case Scenario: Joe Alexander, who recently said that the Milwaukee Bucks should share some of the blame for this failed draft pick.

No. 9 pick

Stats: 10.1 PTS, 4.2 REB, 2 AST, 0.7 STL, 0.6 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 10

Average Years With Team: 4.4

Best Case Scenario: Amar’e Stoudemire (Suns) is standing tall and talented among those drafted at No. 9.

Worst Case scenario: Getting 2.1 points and 1.4 rebounds per game from a 7-foot lottery pick is not what any team hopes for, but it is what the Warriors got from 2006 pick Patrick O’Bryant.

• MORE NBA: Timeline of the Warriors' transformation into a champion

No. 10 pick

Stats: 10.1 PPG, 3.9 REB, 2 AST, 0.7 STL, 0.5 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 13

Average Years With Team: 3.6

Best Case Scenario: Another talent rich spot with Paul George (Pacers), Joe Johnson (Celtics) and Brook Lopez (Nets) all rounding out the top third of their draft classes.

Worst Case: Mouhamed Saer Sene was selected one pick after O'Bryant and gave the Sonics an almost identically poor output.

No. 11 pick

Stats: 6.2 PPG, 2.9 REB, 1.2 AST, 0.5 STL, 0.3 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 1

Average Years With Team: 3.3

Best Case Scenario: There is a steep drop off in talent from Nos. 10 to 11, with Warriors' Klay Thompson standing far above the rest of the pack.

Worst Case Scenario: Magic's 2005 pick Fran Vazquez. Is there anything worse that can happen with a draft pick then them simply refusing to play in the NBA?

No. 12 pick

Stats: 7.6 PTS, 4 REB, 1 AST, 0.6 STL, 0.5 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 0

Average Years With Team: 5

Best Case Scenario: Probably Thaddeus Young (Sixers).

Worst Case: Yaroslav Korolev (Clippers). No. 12 may not be a marquee pick, but you are definitely hoping to squeeze out more than 34 games from a lottery pick.

Noah Graham/NBAE/Getty Images

No. 13 pick

Stats: 7.9 PPG, 3.5 REB, 1.5 AST, 0.7 STL, 0.4 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 0

Average Years With Team: 3.1

Best Case Scenario: Richard Jefferson served ably as the No. 2 option on a Nets team that made it to the NBA Finals, and has transitioned nicely into a veteran role later in his career.

Worst Case Scenario: Marcus Haislip (Bucks) only managed to appear in 89 games over four seasons in the NBA.

• MORE NBA: Suns are intriguing trade partner for Knicks at 13

No. 14 pick

Stats: 8.2 PTS, 3.6 REB, 1.6 AST, 0.7 STL, 0.4 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 0

Average Years With Team: 2.9

Best Case: Unfortunately for the Thunder, the 14th pick lacks any real bright spots, with Ronnie Brewer (Jazz) likely having the most impact of anyone drafted here since 2000.

Worst Case: Mateen Cleaves (Pistons) was not really NBA material at point guard, averaging 3.6 points and 1.9 assists during his run in the league.

No. 15 pick

Stats: 6.7 PTS, 3.5 REB,  1 AST, 0.5 STL, 0.6 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 0

Average Years With Team: 3.3

Best Case Scenario: Kawhi Leonard would probably go first overall in this year's draft. The Spurs got him with the 15th pick in 2011.

Worst Case Scenario: The Magic's 2003 pick Reece Gaines managed to score a total of 123 points in three NBA seasons.

• MORE DRAFT: The latest buzz, trade rumors around players and teams

No. 16 pick

Stats: 7.2 PPG, 3.4 REB, 1 AST, 0.5 STL, 0.4 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 0

Average Years With Team: 2

Best Case Scenario: Nikola Vucevic (Magic) has shown himself to be a very capable big man in the last few seasons, averaging 19 points and 10 rebounds in '14-15. The award still goes to Nick Young (Wizards), though, on Swagger points.

Worst Case Scenario: Troy Bell appeared in six games for the Grizzlies in '03-04 and that was the extent of his NBA career.

• MORE NBA: Vucevic goes from prospect to prize | Meet Swaggy P

No. 17 pick

Stats: 9 PPG, 4.1 REB, 1.7 AST, 1.3 STL, 0.8 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 4

Average Years With Team: 4.3

Best Case Scenario: Danny Granger was a franchise player for the better part of a decade for the Pacers, and averaged 18.2 points for the team before a knee injury held him to just 5 games in '12-13.

Worst Case Scenario: Michael Bradley (Raptors) offers another cautionary tale about falling in love with height, as the big man started just 13 games in his career and averaged 2.8 points and 2.1 rebounds per game.

No. 18 pick

Stats: 8 PPG, 3.2 REB, 1.6 AST, 0.6 STL, 0.5 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 2

Average Years With Team: 3.5

Best Case Scenario: Several diamonds in the rough have been found at  No. 18, including J.R. Smith (Hornets/Pelicans), David West (Pacers) and Ty Lawson (Nuggets).

Worst Case Scenario: The Timberwolves forfeited this pick in 2001 as part of the Joe Smith tampering fiasco, which is a pretty much the worst possible use of a pick.

• SOURCES: Kings coach George Karl is open to a reunion with Lawson

No. 19 pick

Stats: 7.4 PPG, 3.6 REB, 1.2 AST, 0.6 STL, 0.4 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 2

Average Years With Team: 3.5

Best Case Scenario: Things are getting pretty thin as we prepare to enter the final third of the first round, with a solid player like Tobias Harris (Bucks) as a good get in this region.

Worst Case Scenario: Actually, maybe drafting Javaris Crittenton (Lakers) is worse than forfeiting your pick.

No. 20 pick

Stats: 7.4 PPG, 3.4 REB, 1.7 AST, 0.7 STL, 0.4 BLK

Appearances All-Star: 3

Average Years With Team: 3.2

Best Case Scenario: Coming up with player of Zach Randolph's (Blazers) quality this late in the draft is a true miracle, but it has happened before so Raptors fans can hold out some slim hope.

Worst Case Scenario: Russell Westbrook averaged more points per game last season than Nuggets 2005 pick Julius Hodge scored in his entire career.

• THE CRAFT: Inside Randolph's rise to a dominant low-post threat

No. 21 pick

Stats: 7.5 PPG, 3.1 REB, 2.1 AST, 0.7 STL, 0.3 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 4

Average Years With Team: 3.6

Best Case Scenario: A surprising amount of talent has come out of the No. 21 spot with Ryan Anderson (Nets), Darren Collison (Hornets/Pelicans), Rajon Rondo (Celtics), Nate Robinson (Knicks) and Boris Diaw (Hawks) all being taken here, so Mavericks fans have reason to be hopeful.

Worst Case Scenario: Pavel Podkolzine (Mavericks) is the only player in our sample size who failed to break the 1 point per game mark.

Brian Babineau/NBAE/Getty Images

No. 22 pick

Stats: 6.2 PPG, 2.0 REB, 1.4 AST, 0.6 STL, 0.2 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 0

Average Years With Team: 2.2

Best Case Scenario: Kenneth Faried has been a high-energy, low-post force since he was drafted by the Nuggets in 2011.

Worst Case Scenario: Celtics 2001 pick Joseph Forte put up 1.2 points per game in 25 NBA appearances.

No. 23 pick

Stats: 7.2 PPG, 3.6 REB, 1.1 AST, 0.6 STL, 0.5 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 0

Average Years With Team: 4

Best Case Scenario: Tayshaun Prince (Pistons) was a major contributor on a championship team, which is an impressive feat for a No. 23 pick.

Worst Case Scenario: The Trail Blazers' 2004 pick Sergei Monia did not even make it through a full season in the NBA.

• MORE DRAFT: NCAA, not abroad, is better breeding ground for NBA players

No. 24 pick

Stats: 7.2 PPG, 3.4 REB, 1.7 AST, 0.6 STL, 0.5 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 1

Average Years With Team: 3

Best Case Scenario: The Thunder turned this pick into years of solid rim protection by drafting Serge Ibaka in 2009.

Worst Case Scenario: In 2000, the Bulls turned this pick into Dalibor Bagaric and three years of 1.6 rebounds a game. 

No. 25 pick

Stats: 6.6 PPG, 2.8 REB, 1.3 AST, 0.6 STL, 0.4 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 0

Average Years With Team: 3.4

Best Case Scenario: Portland grabbed a quality wingman in Nicolas Batum in 2008, while the Celtics grabbed a shutdown defender in Tony Allen in 2005.

Worst Case Scenario:  Utah likely wishes they had a do over on 2007 pick Morris Almond, who played in just 34 games for the team before heading to the D-League.

No. 26 pick

Stats: 7 PPG, 2.7 REB, 1.3 AST, 0.5 STL, 0.4 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 1

Average Years With Team: 3.6

Best Case Scenario: The Spurs are in a good position with the No. 26 pick as several quality rotation players like George Hill, Taj Gibson, Kevin Martin  and Jason Maxiell have been take in this slot.

Worst Case Scenario: Expectations aren't high this late in the draft but Ndudi Ebi's NBA career was disappointing by any standard, averaging 2.1 points and 1 rebound a night.

No. 27 pick

Stats: 6.3 PPG, 3.2 REB, 1.2 AST, 0.5 STL, 0.5 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 0

Average Years With Team: 3.8

Best Case Scenario: Kendrick Perkins has slowed considerably these days, but there was a time when he could defend the paint with the league's best.

Worst Case Scenario: Celtics 2011 pick JaJuan Johnson spent a season in the league, pulling in 1.6 rebounds per game before being traded and then waived.

No. 28 pick

Stats: 6.6 PPG, 2.3 REB, 2.1 AST, 0.6 STL, 0.2 BLK

All-Star Appearances:

Average Years With Team: 3.5

Best Case Scenario: Leandro Barbosa has been an able backup point guard for a dozen years now, which is tremendous value for the Suns' No. 28 pick in 2003.

Worst Case Scenario: St John's star Erick Barkley could not translate his skills to the NBA in two seasons with the Trail Blazers.

No. 29 pick

Stats: 6.5 PPG, 2.6 REB, 1.6 AST, 1.6 STL, 0.2 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 7

Average Years With Team: 3.9

Best Case Scenario: Tony Parker is by far the best player taken in this position. If there is still a player as good as Parker on the board at this point on Thursday, the Nets have received an amazing gift.

Worst Case Scenario: Orlando's 2011 pick Daniel Orton tried out three teams in as many years and was unable to string together more than 100 points in a season with any of them.

No. 30 pick

Stats: 5 PPG, 2.8 REB, 1 AST, 0.5 STL, 0.3 BLK

All-Star Appearances: 3

Average Years With Team: 2.2

Best Case Scenario: Reigning NBA Most Improved Player Jimmy Butler was taken by the Bulls in this slot in 2012, and he will have a lot of suitors when he hits the free agency market this summer.

Worst Case Scenario: Petteri Koponen has yet to make it over to the NBA from Finland but has already been traded twice, and the Mavericks currently own the rights to sign the 27-year-old guard.

GALLERY: The biggest NBA draft busts of all-time

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