Questions of running back health, QB standouts abound in Week 1
The first week of September means back to football and back to school. Both will apply for anyone getting his or her fantasy football season started. Week 1 is the single most important time to watch, scout, study and learn.
Fantasy faithful looking to come out on top at season's end will be wise to study Week 1 very closely. Sure, you may be the type to cram for an exam, waiting until the very last minute, but trust me, Week 1 will provide a perfect crash course.
Here are this weekend's top 10 things to watch for fantasy, which we will present every Friday of the season as SI.com's Scouting Report:
Fantasy football is a lot easier when No. 1 running backs don't have question marks around them. Week 1 is the time to answer some of those questions, namely in relation to the elite backs coming off season-ending injuries.
Marshawn Lynch (back), Adrian Peterson (knee), Jamaal Charles (knee), Trent Richardson (knee) and Jonathan Stewart (ankle) might not prove to be 100 percent ready to star for fantasy owners, but hopefully they can make it through their first test and show some promise. The almost certainly idle Ryan Mathews (shoulder) and Rashard Mendenhall (knee) might not be too far behind.
The first step to getting these potential fantasy stars back in our starting lineups -- no, you shouldn't be starting most of them this week (save for Lynch, if he's active) -- is seeing if they prove something to us Sunday.
Names you'll want to remember: Ryan Williams, Roy Helu, Evan Royster. You probably should be all over Peyton Hillis, because he's in a 50-50 split with Charles and expected to get the most important carries in the red zone. Michael Bush is perhaps in that same boat with the Bears, and he's facing the suspect Colts defense.
Get ready to welcome back DeAngelo Williams to fantasy prominence, particularly since Stewart isn't around to cut him in half. The Panthers will figure out how to complement Newton with a running game. It might take a chunk out of that 2011 rookie revelation, but it can improve the situation as a whole with Carolina.
Robert Turbin will look to live up to his Incredible SeaHulk nickname if Lynch does not play.
These are secondary issues to pay attention to this weekend. Timeshare running backs are the nature of the beast in modern NFL. We cannot learn enough in the preseason about how these situations play out. We get to see it live and in the flesh now that every game, every down counts.
Did MJD make himself the Chris Johnson bust of 2012? Or is Jennings going to wind up the flash-in-the-pan trendy fantasy pick that lost almost all his juice after the bell cow MJD reported?
We might not get a complete answer in Week 1, but that's where our studies will require some inference. We will see enough from Jennings and MJD to judge who the better back is. If Jennings proves worthy of carries over MJD, he will get plenty of opportunities going forward.
Last season, Newton had one of the most impressive rookie QB seasons in history. We now have the dawn of what could be a landmark year for an array of rookie quarterbacks. Are they going to play like rookies or potential fantasy stars like Newton was a year ago?
• Robert Griffin III is the second coming of Newton, or Akili Smith?
• Brandon Weeden shows he is no Chris Weinke, an older rookie who actually has a future.
• Ryan Tannehill overcomes his complete lack of a receiving corps to create a group he makes better.
These are more
It isn't just the rookie quarterbacks we figure to learn a lot about in their first full games as pros. The second-years are starting six-fold around the league, too. Newton figures to be great against the overmatched Bucs. We already know he is a star.
The questions we need answers to are:
• Is Jake Locker going to prove to be the best traditional dropback quarterback of the 2011 class?
• Can Christian Ponder turn those flashes of brilliance into consistent play and true leadership?
• Is Blaine Gabbert as worthless as he looked a year ago?
The jury will likely remain out after Week 1, but we can learn more about these sophomores' 2012 prospects in one game than we think we know from their 2011 rookie year.
Blackmon can be an impact receiver right away if he plays like the star he can be. If Locker is the real deal, Kendall Wright can impact fantasy. If Jay Cutler takes off as a star, Alshon Jeffery could benefit. Stephen Hill may be more than just a fast guy.
Keshawn Martin, Brian Quick, Josh Gordon, T.Y. Hilton, Rod Streater, Mohamed Sanu, Ryan Broyles and maybe even A.J. Jenkins: Will they prove to be under utilized like the Giants' rookie Rueben Randle or as nouveau as the Cowboys' Kevin Ogletree (we know, not a rookie)?
The Giants' David Wilson fumbled away his big opportunity to make a Week 1 splash, coughing up the football against the Cowboys on his second carry and winding up in Coughlin's doghouse the rest of the game, relegated to kickoff duty. Richardson's dicey knee ruined his Round 1 draft status and leaves him a questionable option for Week 1 against the Eagles' rugged front.
It is Martin's world -- at least in Tampa Bay's world.
Who is this year's Stafford? That is arguably the most important question to answer every season in fantasy. Which QB is going to emerge as elite?
You can't answer this question in Week 1 with complete certainty, but you might be able to eliminate some candidates with some shaky play.
It happens every year. Fantasy hopes are dashed with a serious injury to a star. Peyton Manning was still hoping to play last season going into Week 1. The Chiefs' Charles was the first-rounder to go down, albeit in Week 2. It even happened to the money-in-the-bank Tom Brady in Week 1 after a record-setting season.
There is going to be a star who goes down with an ACL tear. An Achilles' tear. A concussion.
It is a brutal reality of football and fantasy, especially because we won't see it coming.
Right here. Every Sunday night.
While you are swilling your favorite beverages, choking down brats, inhaling smells of barbecue and shouting at the top of your lungs at the players/teams you love to hate and hate to love, yours truly will be observing, contemplating, analyzing and reacting in a column that runs every Sunday night. It is the Fantasy Football Fast Forward and it will break down everything you need to know about the week's action, preparing you for your weekly waivers run and your annual run to fantasy championships.
Enjoy the festival that is Week 1 of the season. It's time to go to school.