|2011 NFL Mock Draft 6.0|
|I'm sure we say a version of the same thing every spring, but somehow I think my league sources really mean it this time when they tell me that no one knows anything for certain about this week's 2011 NFL Draft. It feels murky out there, and there are only a handful of truths we hold to be self-evident:|
* First, there will be some quarterbacks over-drafted this year. Count on it. There are too many teams (at least 10) with a glaring need at the position, and not enough quality passers with starting potential. I've got four quarterbacks in my final first-round mock, but that total could rise to five or six with late-round trades. If the Titans (8th), Redskins (10th) or Vikings (12th) take a quarterback, it could start a mini-run at the position.
* If you want to get a sense of how the first round will go, just follow the player ratings at three positions: Quarterback, defensive line and offensive tackle. That's two-thirds of the round right there. If you know how those players are ranked, you know roughly the order of how the picks will come off the board.
* There will be first-round trades, and maybe the most likely teams looking to deal will be trying to get back into the bottom third of the round, seeking quarterbacks. Cincinnati, Washington, Buffalo, Tennessee and Jacksonville seem the most likely suitors. New England, Seattle, Baltimore, Chicago and Green Bay appear willing to deal downward out of the round. It should make for some interesting matches.
Come Thursday night, we finally get to learn how it will all unfold.
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