UNSUPPORTED BROWSER
NFL

NFL Week 10 Picks


NFL Week 10
 
Last Week: 10-4 (.714); This Season: 80-52 (.606)
 
Thursday, Nov. 8
 
8:20 p.m. ET (NFLN)Indianapolis Colts (5-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-7)
I like the Costanzas here (get it -- the balder team?) even though the Jags got their lone win of the season in Week 3 at Indianapolis. After that game, Robert Mathis stood up in the locker room -- this was the last game Chuck Pagano coached before his leukemia diagnosis, but clearly his ethos had spread over the team -- and said, in essence, that this team was going to get built the right way, and nothing was going to stand in the way of it. Since that afternoon, the Colts are 4-1 and the Jags 0-5. And noted Colts shredder Maurice Jones-Drew is still MIA with his bad foot.
 
Sunday, Nov. 11
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS)Oakland Raiders (3-5) at Baltimore Ravens (6-2)
Can't get past one fact: the Raiders are 0-7 in their last seven trips to the Eastern Time Zone. Last ET win was two coaches (Tom Cable) and three years ago.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS)Denver Broncos (5-3) at Carolina Panthers (2-6)
Trap game for the Broncos. If Steve Smith doesn't slip in Chicago and Cam Newton doesn't throw the pick-6 to turn the tide against the Bears, the Panthers would have two tough road wins in a row and be a candidate for second-half turnaround team. They still might be. I still like Peyton Manning to find 315 passing yards Sunday, but it's no gimme.
 
1 p.m. ET (FOX)New York Giants (6-3) at Cincinnati Bengals (3-5)
Eli Manning needs to break out of his slump, or the Giants might find themselves closer than they should be to the lower middle class of the NFC East when they come off their bye in two weeks. Manning, 31, is just three touchdown passes shy of breaking Phil Simms' franchise record. Seems too soon, no? Manning will try to break it in the city where Simms had his greatest individual day: in Cincinnati, where, in 1985, with Boomer Esiason and Cris Collinsworth on the other sideline (in fact, the scoring that day opened with a 13-yard touchdown pass from Esiason to Collinsworth), Simms threw for 513 yards.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS)Tennessee Titans (3-6) at Miami Dolphins (4-4)
Jake Locker returns for Tennessee, and the Titans play with their owner's shrill everyone-in-this-organization-is-in-trouble warning shot. But I don't see them moving the ball on Miami's D, and I don't see them forcing enough errors from Ryan Tannehill to win. Impressed with Tannehill; how can you not be. Last four games: zero interceptions, 95.5 rating.
 
1 p.m. ET (FOX)Detroit Lions (4-4) at Minnesota Vikings (5-4)
Moment of truth game for each. Detroit's next four: Green Bay, Houston, Indy, at Green Bay. Vikes' next five, after next week's bye: at Chicago, at Green Bay, Chicago, at St. Louis, at Houston. The Vikings, basically, have run out of mulligans. At 5-4, they have to look at the schedule realistically and know that they have to win a home game against this 4-4 team to have a playoff shot. But with the rise of Mikel Leshoure on the other side, look for the Lions to not have to be slaves to Stafford-to-Johnson. That's a good thing, seeing as we're midway through the season and Matthew Stafford has yet to throw Calvin Johnson a touchdown pass.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS)Buffalso Bills (3-5) at New England Patriots (5-3)
Last 18 meetings between the two: New England 17 wins, Buffalo one. Patriots points in last five meetings: 38, 34, 31, 49, 52. Patriots rushing yards last time they met, in Buffalo in September: 247. In short, I don't see much reason for optimism for the vistors in Foxboro this weekend.
 
1 p.m. ET (FOX)Atlanta Falcons (8-0) at New Orleans Saints (3-5)
Two reasons I like the Saints. 1. Desperation. Joe Vitt, he of the fire-and-brimstone pregame prep speeches, will lay it on the line to this team, that with the strength of the NFC and the insurmountability of the five-game deficit in the division, this is the last chance the Saints will have to make the playoffs. 2. History. Since the Sean Payton Era began in Atlanta in 2006, the Saints are 10-2 against Atlanta. It would help, obviously, if Sean Payton were there, but I say Drew Brees will channel him Sunday. One piece of advice for the Saints: As much as defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo likes to rush four and steer clear of the blitz, he should learn from the pounding his D put on Mike Vick last week. Send extras at Matt Ryan, and I think the Saints have a better shot.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS)San Diego Chargers (4-4) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4)
Bucking history here. San Diego's 5-0 in Tampa since the Bucs were born in 1976. But the Bucs lead the league in scoring over the past four weeks, they've got the hottest back in Doug Martin, and Josh Freeman (11 TDs, one pick in the last four games) is coming alive. Boy, does that Vincent Jackson signing by GM Mark Dominik look good.
 
4:05 p.m. ET (CBS)New York Jets (3-5) at Seattle Seahawks (5-4)
Rex Ryan flies his Jets to Seattle Friday and will keep the team on Eastern Time while in Coffeeland. That won't help against the almighty Russell Wilson, who obviously will never lose at home the rest of his life (4-0, nine TDs, 0 picks at CenturyLink).
 
4:25 p.m. ET (FOX)Dallas Cowboys (3-5) at Philadelphia Eagles (3-5)
Wanted to ask my SI.com boss, Tom Mantzouranis, if it would be OK if I passed on picking this game because I don't like either team. Because America breathlessly awaits my wisdom on every game on the slate, I figured he'd say no. Well, I'm going with Dallas, because the Eagles gave a perfect blueprint for how to beat them last week in New Orleans: Rush Mike Vick into oblivion, and hand his brother a Twitter account.
 
4:25 p.m. ET (FOX)St. Louis Rams (3-5) at San Francisco 49ers">49ers (6-2)
Not much drama in the outcome, so a little history lesson. The Rams and Niners have met 124 times. Series is tied 61-61, with two ties. The Rams won 10 in a row in the '70s, Niners 14 in a row in the '90s. In the last 26 meetings, it's 13-13. Point is, this rivalry's down now, but it's been a great and fun one over the years, dating back to the Kezar-Coliseum days. Jeff Fisher: Can you get it back to being that good?
 
8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)Houston Texans (7-1) at Chicago Bears (7-1)
Love this game. I think the game of the week comes down to this, as it will so often for the Bears the rest of the season: Can their checkered front five on the offensive line -- clearly the Achilles heel of the Bears -- protect Jay Cutler enough from an excellent pass-rushing team to allow Cutler to make enough plays to win? It could well be that Matt Forte's most important plays in this game, if the Bears win, will come on blitz pickup.
 
Monday, Nov. 12
 
8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN)Kansas City Chiefs (1-7) at Pittsburgh Steelers (5-3)
Talk about a triumphant night for Steelers offensive coordinator Todd Haley. He'll be thrilled to be able to throw some hot sauce on the Chiefs on national TV. If you've got Ben Roethlisberger or any of the Steelers receivers on your fantasy team this week, make sure you play them.
 
Week 10 Fantasy Projections               Start 'em, Sit 'em
 
Promoted Stories
Comments

More NFL

SI.com

Drag this icon to your bookmark bar.
Then delete your old SI.com bookmark.

SI.com

Click the share icon to bookmark us.