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NFL Week 10 Picks

NFL Week 10
 
Thursday, Nov. 11
 
8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN)Baltimore Ravens (6-2) at Atlanta Falcons (6-2)
A home-run opener for NFL Network, with one of two matchups of 6-2 teams this weekend. Two guys who should waltz into Canton (notice I said should, not will): Ray Lewis and Tony Gonzalez. The first regular-season matchup of the 2008 draft darlings, Matt Ryan and Joe Flacco. The difference: Roddy White's hurt, and Ray Rice isn't. Baltimore makes a few more plays on offense and wins a squeaker.
 
Sunday, Nov. 14
 
1 p.m. ET (Fox)Minnesota Vikings (3-5) at Chicago Bears (5-3)
For a team that apparently hates the coach so much, the Vikings sure do play hard. In Brett Favre's 873rd game at Soldier Field, he'll go out with a three-TD bang.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS)New York Jets (6-2) at Cleveland Browns (3-5)
Not even sure we should call this an upset, though by Vegas rules it would be. Last two games: Browns 64, Saints/Pats 31 ... Peyton Hillis 253 rushing yards ... Colt McCoy, 66-percent passing, zero turnovers, one sack taken. Folks, if you think these Browns are flukes, you're not watching.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS)Cincinnati Bengals (2-6) at Indianapolis Colts (5-3)
Bickering Bengals, beat-up Colts. I'll take the better quarterback, thanks.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS)Houston Texans (4-4) at Jacksonville Jaguars (4-4)
Two of the worst defenses in football meet, and, aside from being thrilled if you're an Arian Foster or Maurice Jones-Drew fantasy owner, a fairly forgettable game should result. The upshot of this result, if I'm right, will be the Texans' third straight loss to the Jags, the fourth loss in the last five games overall, which should put Gary Kubiak and his staff on a very warm seat.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS)Tennessee Titans (5-3) at Miami Dolphins (4-4)
Amazing that we're approaching mid-November, the Dolphins haven't won a home game, and still I consider them a dangerous team. They're more dangerous this week with the uber-accurate Chad Pennington taking over at quarterback. He's rusty, and this is a gamble, but Tony Sparano couldn't stand the red-zone failures that were becoming too common.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS)Carolina Panthers (1-7) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-3)
One more game that tells us very little about the Bucs, except that they can dominate the games decent teams have to dominate.
 
1 p.m. ET (CBS)Detroit Lions (2-6) at Buffalo Bills (0-8)
In the Break Ralph Wilson's Heart One More Time Bowl, the 2-6 team from his hometown walks into the stadium with his name on it, beats the team he owns, with the new defensive centerpiece limping on the sidelines with a bum wheel. Where does the indignity end for these Bills?
 
4:05 p.m. ET (CBS)Kansas City Chiefs (5-3) at Denver Broncos (2-6)
Very bad matchup for the Broncs. Chiefs rushing for 5.0 per carry, Denver allows 4.6 per carry. Expect a grind-it-out win for KC, and be happy if you employ Jamaal Charles or Thomas Jones in fantasyland.
 
4:15 p.m. ET (Fox)Seattle Seahawks (4-4) at Arizona Cardinals (3-5)
Am I allowed to pass on a game? If so, this is the one. I have no good reasoning for this result, other than the fact that the Cards' defense was throttling the Vikings for 50 minutes last week.
 
4:15 p.m. ET (Fox)Dallas Cowboys (1-7) at New York Giants (6-2)
Look on the bright side, Cowboys fans: The score would have been worse with Wade on the sidelines. The G-Men continue to make their case as best in the NFC, though this is like a win over a JV team.
 
4:15 p.m. ET (Fox)St. Louis Rams (4-4) at San Francisco 49ers">49ers (2-6)
A big reason why Troy Smith will be quarterbacking the 49ers Sunday against the Rams? The final preseason game this year, when Troy Smith bombed for the Ravens against the Rams: 18 of 38, 237 yards, no touchdowns, two picks. Then Smith got whacked, the Niners picked him up, Alex Smith got hurt, and Troy Smith inherited the gig. If Troy wins this one, expect him to have the job the rest of the year. Which could happen. But I like the Rams pass-rush to pressure him into some big mistakes.
 
8:20 p.m. ET (NBC)New England Patriots (6-2) at Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2)
Game of the year so far. That's how this one will play out. Pats are 3-1 in Pittsburgh in this century, and fire alarms have been sounding all over the locker room and practice facility this week. Big game for Bill Belichick. Very big game. And with Pittsburgh down three big players since August -- tackles Max Starks and Willie Colon, and defensive end Aaron Smith -- that'll be just enough dents in the armor for the Patriots to take advantage.
 
Monday, Nov. 15
 
8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN)Philadelphia Eagles (5-3) at Washington Redskins (4-4)
"Got your Stat of the Week for you,'' Sal Paolantonio told me on Sirius NFL Radio the other day. "Donovan McNabb's 1-0 after being benched.'' Make that 1-1 by Monday night, Salvator. Last time McNabb came off a benching, he was facing Kurt Warner and one of the worst defenses (at the time) in football. This time, he's facing a hot Mike Vick and the league's third-rated D. But there'll be a lot of emotion in this game for McNabb, and a lot of motivation for him to play one of the games of his life. So we'll see.
 
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