NFL Odds: From Browns to Broncos, best bets for NFL season win totals
You can bet on individual games, you can bet on who will win the Super Bowl this year, and you can bet on how many games your favorite team will win this season. To help you with that last option, here is the OddsShark.com computer’s analysis of the top four NFL season total wagers heading into the new season. (See over-under numbers for all 32 teams here).
Dating back to last season and including this preseason, the Cleveland Browns are 0-10 straight up and 2-8 against the spread over their last 10 games.
Their season win total is set at 6.5 games and it seems unimaginable that they can reach seven wins in 2014.
Cleveland got terrible news this week when the NFL decided to uphold its season-long suspension of wide receiver Josh Gordon. Gordon was far and away Cleveland's best weapon on offense, and without him the Browns' season looks even bleaker.
Johnny Manziel will likely take over at starting quarterback once Brian Hoyer begins to struggle, and though Manziel may be able to steal a game or two, his recklessness may also give games away. The Browns have won five or less games in each of the last six seasons, and with the uncertainty at quarterback and the absence of their best target, they look safe to win UNDER 6.5 at -115.
Since 2003, the New England Patriots have won at least 10 games every year and 11 or more nine times. In each of their last four seasons, they've had 12 or more wins, and even in 2008, when Tom Brady missed the entire season, Bill Belichick's squad managed an 11-5 record.
Betting the season OVER on New England has always been a good move over the last decade, and this season is no different at OVER 11.0 at -135.
The Houston Texans won the AFC South in back-to-back seasons before the wheels inexplicably fell off in last year's disastrous 2-14 campaign. With a new coach, a capable new quarterback in Ryan Fitzpatrick and a potentially elite new defensive end joining JJ Watt in first overall pick Jadaveon Clowney, the Texans have a great chance of getting right back into the playoff picture.
Or, at least a good chance of going 8-8 and cashing the OVER 7.5 season wins bet at -150.
Broncos OVERWith Peyton Manning under center, the Denver Broncos have compiled two straight 13-3 seasons and are 24-3 straight up over their last 27 games. The Broncos are clearly the team to beat in the AFC once again, and their season total is set at 11.5 with the UNDER favored at -125. If Peyton Manning stays healthy, it is difficult to see the Broncos not winning 12 games.Getting the OVER at -105 is an excellent value.