Saturday October 18th, 2014

The New Orleans Saints are just 2-9 straight up and against the spread in their last 11 games on the road. Sean Payton’s team will try to turn things around on Sunday when it visits the Detroit Lions.

The OddsShark Computer projects that the New Orleans at Detroit betting matchup will be a close game, but in the end the Saints' road woes will continue with Detroit winning 22.6 to 20.7. With New Orleans going off as a 2.5-point road underdog, the Saints would at least get a cover if they do indeed lose by only two points.

In a surprising twist, Seahawks trade WR Percy Harvin to the Jets

Elsewhere, the Seattle Seahawks visit the St. Louis Rams Sunday and, unlike the Saints, aren't expected to have much difficulty on the road. Seattle is 9-4 straight up and 10-3 against the spread in its last 13 games on the road and is a 7-point road favorite on Sunday in St. Louis. The computer predicts that the Seahawks will cover this spread easily, winning 30 to 14.4.

Last week, the computer correctly predicted the outright upset of the Lions over the Vikings in Minnesota. This week the computer is churning out two outright upset picks: Tennessee on the road over Washington and Miami on the road over Chicago. Miami is a 3-point road underdog at sportsbooks monitored by and is projected to win 23.8 to 21.9, while Tennessee is a 5.5-point road underdog and is projected to win 17.2 to 15.2.

Week 7 NFL Picks: Can Browns keep up the momentum against Jaguars?

Denver hosts San Francisco on Sunday with Peyton Manning only three touchdown passes away from breaking Brett Favre's record as the all-time leader. If the computer score of Denver 29.6 over San Francisco 25.8 is close to accurate, a four-touchdown day for Denver could mean a record-setting day for Manning. That score would yield a San Francisco cover with the 49ers going off at +7 on the road.

Houston is 0-10 straight up and 4-6 against the spread in its last 10 games as a road underdog. The Texans are a 3.5-point underdog at Pittsburgh on Monday night and are projected to have their road struggles continue in a 22.8 to 17.2 loss to the Steelers.


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