NFL odds Week 12: Is the over a sure bet in Ravens vs. Saints?

The New Orleans Saints have not lost three consecutive home games since 2005 and will attempt to end their skid at the Superdome when they host the Baltimore Ravens on Monday Night Football.  The Saints have dropped their last two home games to the San Francisco 49ers and Cincinnati Bengals as favorites of six points or more, and they enter Monday night as consensus three-point chalk against the Ravens.

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Before the two-game home losing streak, New Orleans had won two straight as a favorite of three points or less and covered the spread in each of its previous three at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. That includes a 44-23 rout of the Green Bay Packers on Oct. 26 as two-point home chalk. The Packers have not lost since then. The Saints have gone 1-3 against the spread in their past four games as home favorites after going 8-0-1 versus the line in their previous nine before that.

Baltimore has won five of the last six meetings with New Orleans both straight-up and ATS, with the last victory coming back in 2010. The Ravens have scored 30 points or more in the past four games against the Saints, and the total has gone OVER in the last three meetings. Baltimore is coming off a bye week after beating the Tennessee Titans 21-7 in a game with closing NFL betting lines showing them as 10.5-point home favorites. Baltimore snapped a two-game losing streak with that win after falling on the road two weeks in a row. The Ravens are 0-3 SU and ATS in their past three games as road underdogs but 9-2 versus the line in their last 11 after a bye.

This Baltimore-New Orleans matchup would seem to be a high-scoring game based on previous betting trends in the series. However, the UNDER is 4-0-1 in the last five games following a bye for the Ravens, and two of the past three overall for the Saints have also dipped below the total with the losing team scoring just 10 points in those games. However, Baltimore’s previous three road games have also all gone OVER the total.