Friday November 28th, 2014

Two of the NFL’s best teams will square off at Lambeau Field on Sunday when the NFC North-leading Green Bay Packers (8-3) host the AFC East-leading New England Patriots (9-2). The Packers have thrived at home lately, going 4-0 straight-up and against the spread in their last four games there, winning by an average margin of almost 32 points. Green Bay is a consensus 3-point home favorite against a New England team that has gone 4-0 straight up and against the spread in its past four as an underdog.

The Patriots are riding a seven-game winning streak after beating their 13th straight NFC North opponent last week with a 34-9 victory against the Detroit Lions as 7.5-point home favorites at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. In fact, New England’s last loss to an NFC North team came at Lambeau against the Packers back in 2002. Patriots quarterback Tom Brady won his only career start there 35-0 as a 6-point underdog in 2006. Green Bay is 3-0-1 against the spread in its last four games vs. AFC East foes, with the most recent of those wins coming against the Miami Dolphins, 27-24, as a 1.5-point road favorite in Week 6.

Another big game in Week 12 will take place in primetime on Sunday Night Football, as the Denver Broncos (8-3) visit the Kansas City Chiefs (7-4) in a key AFC West matchup. The Broncos are 1.5-point road favorites and survived a scare from the Dolphins last week in a 39-36 victory, with the closing NFL betting lines showing them as 6.5-point home chalk. They have won 10 consecutive road games against divisional opponents to go along with a 9-1 mark against the spread.

Denver has also won the past five meetings with Kansas City both straight up and vs. the line. The Chiefs are coming off a surprising 24-20 loss to the previously winless Oakland Raiders last Thursday as 7-point road favorites. They are just 6-15 against the spread in their last 21 home games against AFC West teams according to the OddsShark NFL Database, including 2-6 in their past eight.

Other key NFL matchups on Sunday include the San Diego Chargers (7-4) visiting the Baltimore Ravens (7-4) as 5.5-point underdogs and the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-4) hosting the New Orleans Saints (4-7) as 4.5-point favorites. The Ravens just beat the Saints 34-27 on Monday Night Football as 2.5-point road underdogs to move into a tie atop the AFC North with the Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals (7-4), who will be playing their third road game in a row when they travel to Tampa Bay to face the Buccaneers (2-9) as 3.5-point road favorites. Despite their loss to Baltimore, the Saints are still somehow tied for the lead in the NFC South with the Atlanta Falcons (4-7), who host the NFC West-leading Arizona Cardinals (9-2) as 2-point home underdogs.

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