Thursday January 15th, 2015

NFL Computer Projects Patriots and Seahawks to Win on Sunday

The Indianapolis Colts are just 3-7 straight up and 4-6 against the spread in their last 10 games as a road underdog. The Colts will be an underdog this Sunday when they visit the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium in the AFC Championship Game.

Indianapolis is a 6.5-point road underdog at sportsboooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The Colts have strung together two straight impressive performances on defense this postseason with a 26-10 win over Cincinnati and a 24-13 win over Denver to improve to 7-1 straight up and 5-2-1 against the spread over their last eight games. In the game prior to their current eight-game hot streak, the Colts lost to New England 42-20.

New England hosts Indianapolis with a 5-0 straight up record in its last five games against the Colts and a 3-0 ATS record over its last three games against them. The Patriots have won by 21 or more points in their last three games against Indianapolis, but the OddsShark Computer sees this one being a closer game in churning out a score of 36.8 to 29.5 for New England. Even with the score potentially being closer, New England is picked to cover the spread.

Green Bay visits Seattle in the early game on Sunday. The Packers have gone just 1-5 straight up and against the spread in their last six road games against NFC West opponents according to the OddsShark NFL Database and 1-8 straight up and against the spread in their last nine games as road underdogs. Green Bay has gone 6-3 straight up and 4-3-2 against the spread in its last nine games against Seattle with a 3-2 straight up and against the spread record in its last five games against the Seahawks.

Seattle comes into the game as a 7.5-point favorite at home. The Seahawks have been dominant of late with a 7-0 straight up and 6-1 against the spread record that includes seven-straight double-digit wins. Seattle is also 5-1 straight up and against the spread in its last six playoff games. But while many of the trends are pointing toward a Seattle win and cover, the OddsShark Computer predicts that Aaron Rodgers and the Packers can keep this one close and cover the spread in a 31.8 to 35.9 loss to the Seahawks.

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