Monday October 5th, 2015

The fourth week of the 2015 NFL season comes to a close Monday evening as the 1-2 Seattle Seahawks host the winless Detroit Lions. The Seahawks opened as a 9.5-point favorite, and the line has extended to 10 points at some sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark. The moneyline has the Seahawks between -460 and -550, and the Lions between +385 to +425.

The reason for the big swings on that moneyline is likely due to running back Marshawn Lynch’s hamstring injury. The Seahawks running back did not practice this week, and was originally listed as questionable before being ruled out for the contest. Rookie Thomas Rawls should get the bulk of the carries ahead of veteran Fred Jackson for Seattle on Monday night.

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The Lions will be without running back Joique Bell and tight end Brandon Pettigrew, who were both ruled out. Outside linebacker DeAndre Levy is listed as doubtful, which means he is unlikely to play. Defensive end Ziggy Ansah and guard Larry Warford are both listed as questionable after limited work for much of the week.

The Lions are 0-3 straight up and against the spread this season, coming off a 24-12 loss to the Denver Broncos. They are 1-6 against the spread in their last seven games, and 1-7 against the spread in their last eight road games. They have failed to cover in their last two games as a double-digit underdog, and are 4-5-1 against the spread in their last 10 such games according to the OddsShark NFL Database.

The Seahawks are 1-2 straight up and against the spread this season, winning their first game straight up and against the spread in a Week 3 26-0 win at home against the Chicago Bears. The Seahawks are 1-4-1 against the spread in their last six games, but 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games against the Lions. The Seahawks are also 2-0-1 against the spread in their last three games as a double-digit favorite. They are 5-4-1 against the spread in their last 10 games as a double-digit favorite.

The point total is set at 43. The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the Lions' last 12 road games, but four of the last five when they played both at Seattle, and combined home or away against the Seahawks. The total has gone OVER in four of Seattle’s last six games. The OddsShark Computer predicts a 25.1-15.6 Seahawks win, going UNDER and just missing the Seattle cover.

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