Through six weeks of the NFL season the Patriots appear to be the class of the league. Each of New England’s five victories have come by at least a touchdown. That in itself doesn’t make it surprising at all that the Patriots are laying a whopping ten points at home to the Jets this week at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
New England handled the Colts comfortably on Sunday Night Football, but they may face some issues against the Jets this weekend. For starters, the Patriots have some injuries on their offensive line, and that doesn’t bode well against a strong Jets front seven.
The Jets have the league’s best rush defense, so they have a great shot of turning the Patriots into a one-dimensional offense. Tom Brady is more than capable of carving up any defense, but he may have to do so without wide receiver Julian Edelman, who injured a finger in the victory on Sunday night.
There’s also reason to be optimistic about the Jets offense, as they own one of the league’s best running games. New England isn’t exactly stout when it comes to stopping the run, and they’ll have to devote extra bodies to slowing down New York’s rushing attack.
Ryan Fitzpatrick is by no means on the same level as Tom Brady, but he’ll likely face a lot of favorable situations on Sunday afternoon if New York can pound the rock.
The Jets have some trends working in their favor here as well. New York is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against the Patriots in October according to the OddsShark NFL Database, 4-0 ATS in their last four games on the road, and 4-0 ATS in their last four divisional games.
Expecting New York to end New England’s 19-0 SU run in their last 19 October home games is a bit much, but there isn’t as big of a discrepancy between these two teams as this line would indicate.
In a battle for first place in the AFC East, don’t be surprised if this game comes down to the final possession, making the double-digit points being offered on the road team very intriguing.