The Giants have won the last three meetings with the Patriots, including two Super Bowl victories. Despite their dominance of this rivalry, the Giants find themselves as whopping 8.5-point home underdogs at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.
The Giants been bigger home underdogs just three times since 1998, and have gone 0-3 straight up and 2-1 against the spread in that span.
The Patriots (8-0) are one of three remaining unbeaten teams in the league, and figure to have a comfortable time moving the ball on offense. Tom Brady leads the NFL in touchdown passes and battles a secondary that has looked utterly helpless in recent weeks.
The Giants run defense is also in shambles, and subsequently the team’s defense is last in the league, surrendering an average of 429.4 yards per game. New England will have to find a way to replace the production of injured running back Dion Lewis, but they have a plethora of talent available to them on offense.
Meanwhile, Eli Manning is enjoying a strong bounce-back campaign. Manning’s 19-to-6 touchdown-to-interception ratio is amongst the best in the league, and he’s had success against the Patriots defense in the past, tossing nine touchdowns in the past four meetings with New England.
If there’s a knock on Manning, it’s that he has historically not played well in November, as evidenced by the Giants 3-10 against the spread track record in their last 13 November home games according to the OddsShark NFL Database.
All in all, this makes for quite an intriguing matchup. New England appears to be the class of the league, but there’s no denying that the Giants have their number. The Patriots could also be in a potential flat spot as they’ve gone 7-21-2 against the spread in their last 30 games after consecutive against the spread wins.
It’s hard to pass up a home dog of more than a touchdown in this day and age, and it’s even harder to do so with a team that’s getting good quarterback play. Look for the Giants to keep this game close and for the game to be decided in the final possession.