The NFL kicks off Week 10 of its schedule with an intriguing AFC East matchup as the Jets host the Bills in a game that marks Buffalo head coach Rex Ryan’s return to MetLife Stadium to face his former team.
The Jets opened as a three-point favorite, but the line has come down to as low as 1.5 points at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The moneyline has the Jets between -130 and -145, and the Bills between +115 and +125.
The home team has dominated lately in this series, as the home team is 5-1 against the spread in the last six matchups between these clubs. The Bills are 4-1 against the spread in the last five games between these teams, and are underdogs for only the second time dating back to the 2011 season.
The Bills enter the game 4-4 straight up and against the spread, coming off a straight up and against the spread win over the Miami Dolphins. They are 4-2 against the spread in their last six road games, and have won against the spread in four of their last five as an underdog according to the OddsShark NFL Database.
The Bills' injury report includes an issue on the right side of the offensive line. Starting right tackle Seantrel Henderson and his backup Cyrus Kouandjio are both questionable for the game. Henderson was dealing with an illness this week, and is expected to play. Sammy Watkins (ankle) and LeSean McCoy (shoulder) are both listed as probable, and both are expected to play.
The Jets enter the game 5-3 straight up and 4-3-1 against the spread, coming off a straight up win but against the spread loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jets are 0-2-1 against the spread in their last three games, but are 5-2-1 against the spread in their last eight home games.
The Jets have a lengthy injury report for Week 10. Right guard Willie Colon, safety Calvin Pryor and backup safety Dion Bailey have all been ruled out for the game. Cornerback Antonio Cromartie is listed as doubtful due to a quadriceps injury, and nickel back Buster Skrine is questionable with shoulder and hand injuries.
The point total opened at 44.5, but has come down to as low as 42 at the sportsbooks. The total has gone OVER in five of the last seven games between these two teams, and OVER in the last five games between them in New Jersey. The total has also gone OVER in five of the Bills' last seven games, and in four of the Jets' last five games.
The OddsShark Computer predicts a 25.9-19.3 Jets victory. That would provide for the Jets cover and the OVER.