Wednesday January 20th, 2016

The Denver Broncos are 5–0 straight up and against the spread in their last five games as a betting underdog of three points or less. The Broncos will be looking for another upset when they host the New England Patriots this Sunday in the AFC Championship Game.

Denver is going off as a 3-point home betting underdog according to sportsbooks monitored by In their last 10 playoff games as an underdog of three points or less, Denver is 3–7 straight up and 4–6 against the spread.

The Broncos won't get many style points for their win over the Pittsburgh Steelers last week, but in the postseason all that matters is finding a way to win. Denver defeated the injury-riddled Steelers 23–16, picking up their third straight win in the process despite falling to 0–3–2 ATS in their last five games.

The defense has been the strength of the Broncos all season long, and it once again got the job done in limiting the damage on Pittsburgh's drives and allowing only one touchdown.

This will be just the seventh time in 17 meetings between Tom Brady and Peyton Manning that Manning's team will be the betting underdog. Manning is 1–5 straight up and 3–2–1 against the spread in his previous six instances as an underdog against Brady.

New England looked sharp against the Kansas City Chiefs last Saturday, ending Kansas City's 11-game winning streak with a 27–20 win and cover at home. Now the Patriots will try to take their success on the road, playing just their second playoff road game since 2007. The Patriots' last postseason road game was a 26–16 loss to the Broncos back in 2014.

New England is 20–10 straight up in its last 30 games as a road favorite but 1–5 against the spread in its last six.

The total on Sunday is set at 44 points. The OVER is 6–1 in the last seven games between the Patriots and the Broncos. While the press around this game will focus on another battle between Tom Brady and Peyton Manning, points might be hard to come by in this one with two Top 10 scoring defenses taking the field in Denver.

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