The betting public often overreacts to what they saw in Week 1. Here are some Week 2 numbers influenced by public perception that you can take advantage of.
Week 2 is upon us and with it comes a trio of solid wagers. The betting public often overreacts to what they saw in Week 1, and subsequently we can look to take advantage of numbers that are heavily influenced by public perception.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers were an absolute train wreck in Week 1, getting stomped 42-14 at home to the Titans. It’s never easy to back a team that looked so dysfunctional in the previous week, but the Bucs, who are traveling to New Orleans to face the Saints, are a 10-point underdog at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com, and that number is simply too high.
Most people haven’t figured out that the Saints are in rebuilding mode because they still possess some good offensive weapons, but make no mistake: this is a squad that is void of talent at numerous positions. New Orleans has a plethora of injuries on the defensive side of the ball and asking it to cover double-digits is too daunting of a task. Grab the points with Tampa.
Another team that impressed last week was the San Francisco 49ers, as they upset the Vikings 20-3 on Monday Night Football. Minnesota rode into town believing in its own hype, and it was simply awful from the outset.
The 49ers take a step up in class here with a game against a Steelers team that played better than last week’s 28-21 loss to the Pats would indicate. Pittsburgh’s net yards per play was +0.8 in New England on opening night, but the Steelers shot themselves in the foot with eight penalties and a turnover.
Pittsburgh has a ton of offensive weapons that should move the ball with ease against a 49ers defense better last week than it actually is. Lay the six points with the Steelers in their matchup with the Niners.
Sticking with the theme of overreactions, the Titans have gone from being considered one of the league’s worst teams to a potential sleeper. Yes, Marcus Mariota had a debut for the ages against the Bucs, finishing 13-for-16 for 209 yards, four touchdowns, and a perfect 158.3 passer rating. But Cleveland’s defense is far superior to the lowly Bucs defense, and we simply don’t believe that the Titans are deserving of the road favorite role. Cleveland as a 1-point underdog is certainly worth a look.