Any investor knows that increases in potential reward come with associated increases in risk. There’s no such thing as a free lunch in investing (unless you’re an insider, but I digress), and the same holds true of NBA prospect evaluation, especially this year when there are no surefire lock prospects. If you want to try to hit a home run on Thursday, you’ll be swinging at a questionable pitch, and the outcome may be a weak pop-up.
Even in what’s considered a “weak draft” in terms of potential stars, someone (or more) will emerge as a legitimate impact NBA player. It’s your general manager’s job to figure out which of them is the future homer. Here’s a list of the biggest risk/reward prospects in this year’s draft, presented with a touch of humor and/or hyperbole.