2016 NCAA tournament team previews: Southern Jaguars

0:50 | College Basketball
Bracket Hack: (16) Southern
Sunday March 13th, 2016

As part of its preview of the 2016 NCAA men’s basketball tournament, SI.com is taking a look at all 68 teams in the field. RPI and SOS data from realtimerpi.com. Adjusted offense and defense statistics are from kenpom.com and measure the number of points scored and allowed per 100 possessions, and the team’s national rank. All other advanced stats are also from kenpom.com (unless noted otherwise), and are through March 14.

Record: 22–12 (11–7 SWAC)
RPI/SOS: 138/249
Adjusted offensive/defensive efficiency: 100.0(244th)/105.4 (206th)
Seed: No. 16 (First Four)

Impact player: Adrian Rodgers, senior, guard, 16.6 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 1.3 apg

MORE: Make your picks in SI’s Bracket Challenge

The Case For: Southern is not fazed by superior competition. You’ll recall that in 2013, the Jaguars, as a No. 16 seed, came close to upsetting No. 1 seed Gonzaga before falling, 64–58. This is a different team, but it’s led by the same coach, Roman Banks, and it has spent the past two seasons waiting for another tourney shot after being hit with a postseason ban (over APR). The Jaguars don’t have the size to bang with high-major teams—they rank 306th nationally in average height, according to kenpom.com—but they held their own against major-conference squads this season. In November, Southern beat Mississippi State in Starkville and upended Tulane at home. The next month the Jaguars won at Wyoming and then pushed Memphis in a five-point loss at FedExForum.

Their biggest strength is taking the ball away (39th nationally in steal percentage), but don’t overlook senior Rogers and senior guard Christopher Hyder, both of whom ranked in the top five of the SWAC in Offensive Win Shares. While Southern didn’t finish conference play on a strong note—it dropped four of its final five games—the Jaguars got hot in the SWAC tournament. After ringing up 1.12 points per possession in wins over Alabama State and Texas Southern, respectively, Southern grinded out a 54–53 victory over Jackson St. by notching 0.79 PPP.

Wesley Hitt/Getty

SI prediction: Lose to Holy Cross in First Four.

SI Apps
We've Got Apps Too
Get expert analysis, unrivaled access, and the award-winning storytelling only SI can provide - from Peter King, Tom Verducci, Lee Jenkins, Seth Davis, and more - delivered straight to you, along with up-to-the-minute news and live scores.