Kansas State has a strong track record of covering the spread in the Big 12, but TCU has been dominant this year. So what should you do? Bet the OVER.

By OddsShark
November 07, 2014

The Kansas State Wildcats are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 road games against Big 12 opponents. The No. 7 Wildcats will try to pull off a road upset and stay in the playoff picture with a win Saturday night at No. 6 TCU.

With both TCU and Kansas State sitting just outside of the top four in the College Football Playoff rankings, the winner of this game could be in position to move into a playoff slot down the stretch. TCU is a six-point favorite at home, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

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Coming off of an 8-5 SU and ATS season last year, Kansas State wasn't expected to be in the hunt for the Big 12 title this season. But in a 20-14 loss as a 7.5-point home underdog to Auburn, the Wildcats proved they were good enough to play with anyone. Since the loss to the Tiger, Kansas State is a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS, including a win over Oklahoma as a seven-point road underdog. The Wildcats are entering the meat of their schedule with visits to TCU, West Virginia and Baylor approaching before the end of the regular season.

Usually known for their defense, coach Gary Patterson’s Horned Frogs have redefined themselves this season with one of the best offenses in the nation, averaging 48 points per game. TCU is 7-1 SU and ATS so far this season, failing to cover the spread for the first time last week in a 31-30 road win over West Virginia. The Frogs are 5-0 SU and ATS at home this season.

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The OVER is 4-1 in both Kansas State's last five conference road games and TCU's last five home games. Saturday's total is set at 57.5 at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. Kansas State ranks 12th in the nation and No. 1 in the Big 12 in scoring defense, allowing only 18.6 points per game, but that defense will have its work cut out for it against the Horned Frogs.

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