UCLA is a slight home favorite against rival USC. The Trojans will put their strong spread record on the line against the Bruins' recent hot streak. Who will prevail in Saturday's showdown?
The USC Trojans are 6-1 SU in their last seven road games against Pac-12 teams and 3-1 ATS in their last four. The Trojans hope to continue that sting of conference success on the road against the rival UCLA Bruins on Saturday.
UCLA is a 3.5-point favorite at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The Bruins are 2-0 SU and ATS over their last two games against the Trojans since USC went 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS over the prior five games in this crosstown rivalry.
USC has had a solid season with a 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS record, but the Trojans are just a few big plays away from potentially being in the picture for the College Football Playoff. A poorly defended Hail Mary against Arizona State and a foot out of bounds on a key fourth-down play at Utah make up the difference between a 7-3 SU and a 9-1 SU record. With matchups against UCLA and Notre Dame remaining, the Trojans could still finish the season strong with wins over their two biggest rivals.
After starting the season off just 1-7 ATS, albeit with a 6-2 SU record, the Bruins have strung together double-digit wins over Arizona and Washington to go 2-0 SU and ATS. UCLA's playoff chances are still slim due to its back-to-back losses to Utah and Oregon, but the Bruins still control their destiny for a division title in the crowded Pac-12 South. UCLA is just 1-3 ATS in its last four conference home games.
Points could be hard to come by in this one as the UNDER is 4-0 in UCLA's last four Pac-12 home games, 3-0 in USC's last three Pac-12 road games and 7-1 in the last eight games in this series, according to the OddsShark College Football Database. UCLA has been playing well of late, but USC should come out with its best effort looking for some revenge in this rivalry as a 3.5-point underdog.