College football odds: In potential trap game, Clemson favored over NC State

Wednesday October 28th, 2015

The Clemson Tigers are 10–0 straight up and 6–4 against the spread over their last 10 games. With just five games remaining on their schedule, the Tigers face arguably their toughest remaining road test this Saturday when they visit the North Carolina State Wolfpack.

Clemson is a 10-point road favorite this week according to sportsbooks monitored by In their last eight games as a double-digit road favorite, the Tigers are 8–0 SU and 5–3 ATS.

With a perennial inability to avoid dropping at least one trap game over the course of the season, Clemson entered last week’s road game against Miami as only an eight-point favorite. The Tigers completely dominated the Hurricanes from start to finish, running away with a 58–0  victory.

Now Clemson must avoid another potential trap, as it’s coming off the big win last week and could be looking ahead to a showdown against Florida State next week.

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The Tigers are 10–1 SU in their last 11 games against NC State, but just 1–4 ATS over their last five per the OddsShark College Football Database.

North Carolina State is 8–2 SU and ATS over its last 10 games and broke a two-game losing streak with a 35–17 road win against Wake Forest last week. The Wolfpack have covered the spread in each of their last two games as a home underdog against Clemson, winning outright as a 6.5-point underdog in 2011.

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NC State is 0–6 SU and 2–4 ATS in its last six games as a home underdog since going 8–3 SU and 8–2–1 ATS in its previous 11 instances as one.

The total for Saturday’s game is set at 51.5 points. In North Carolina State’s last 14 games played in October, the UNDER is 10–4.

Last year’s 41–0 home win for Clemson over NC State was an outlier for this head-to-head series. Three of the previous four games between these two teams was decided by two touchdowns or less, with the one exception being the Wolfpack’s 37–13 win in 2011.

Clemson is good enough to win this game comfortably, but this could also end up being a very tough road environment if the Tigers don’t get off to a great start.

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