College football odds: FSU a home favorite vs. in-state rival Florida

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Thursday November 24th, 2016

The Florida State Seminoles are 24–2 straight up and 14–12 ATS in their last 26 games at home. The Seminoles will try to end their regular season on a high note with a win at home over the Florida Gators this weekend.

Florida State is a 7.5-point home favorite in Tallahassee at sportsbooks monitored by The visiting team is 4–1 SU and 5–0 ATS in the last five games between these two in-state rivals.

For a team that came into the 2016 season with lofty expectations of competing for an ACC championship and a playoff spot, the Seminoles have had a disappointing year. But with an 8–3 SU and 6–5 ATS record, Florida State only had a down year in comparison to its own potential.

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Florida State has won three straight and covered the spread in each of its last two games, and the team enters this showdown against Florida with some good momentum on offense after back-to-back 45-point performances.

The Seminoles have dominated this rivalry in recent years with a 5–1 SU and 4–2 ATS record in their last six games against the Gators per the OddsShark College Football Database.

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Despite entering their final SEC game of the regular season with a 7–2 SU record and control of their own destiny in the SEC East, not many people were giving Florida much of a chance as a 14–point road underdog last Saturday against LSU. The Gators got the job done with a 16–10 upset, securing a spot in the SEC Championship Game and improving to 4–1 SU and ATS over their last five games.

Florida ranks third in the nation in scoring defense, allowing just 13 points per game.

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The total on Saturday is set at 45.5 points on the college football betting lines. The UNDER is 7–2 in Florida State's last nine home games against Florida.

Before last Saturday's surprising upset of LSU, Florida was 0–5 SU and 1–4 ATS in its previous five games as an underdog. Facing a Florida State team with a far superior offense, the Gators will need another excellent effort from their defense to keep this game close on the road.

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