College football odds: TCU enters key battle at Oklahoma State as favorite

TCU will be a road favorite against Oklahoma State on Saturday as a backloaded Big 12 schedule finally heats up. With the explosiveness of each team’s offense, expect the Horned Frogs and Cowboys to put up plenty of points.
Publish date:

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are 10–0 straight up and 7–3 against the spread over their last 10 games. But despite the team’s recent success, the Cowboys will be a home underdog this Saturday against the TCU Horned Frogs.

Oklahoma State is a five-point betting underdog at Boone Pickens Stadium according to sportsbooks monitored by Over the team’s last nine games as a home underdog, the Cowboys are 1–8 SU and ATS.

Passing another Big 12 test with a 70–53 win over the Texas Tech Red Raiders last week, the Cowboys improved to 8–0 SU and 5–3 ATS on the season. Now the real test begins for the Cowboys, who face TCU, Baylor and Oklahoma over the last four weeks of the season.

Instant Analysis: Alabama biggest surprise in first CFP rankings release

All three of those games come at home for Oklahoma State, and a win over TCU this week could put the Cowboys into the playoff conversation. In their last 10 games played in the month of November, Oklahoma State is 6–4 SU and 8–2 ATS per the OddsShark College Football Database.

The most impressive part of TCU’s 40–10 win over West Virginia last week was the performance of the defense. The Horned Frogs have had a relatively down year defensively this season, and if the team is going to pick up wins down the stretch against Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and Baylor, it will likely need the defense to step up.

With that said, the Trevone Boykin-led offense is more than capable of shooting out with anyone and is averaging 48.9 points per game. TCU is 16–0 SU and 10–6 ATS over its last 16 games.

• BECHT: Power Rankings: Florida ascends into top four after Week 9

The total for Saturday’s game is set at 77.5 points. The OVER is 7–3 in TCU’s last 10 games on the road and 3–0 in Oklahoma State’s last three games at home.

With the College Football Playoff Committee leaving all three of the Big 12’s undefeated teams out of the top 5, it would seem that the conference’s teams have little room for error. The winner of this game should see a bump in the rankings and will keep its playoff hopes alive.