Predicting the preseason AP Top 25

Steve Deace

We're about a month away from the release of the Associated Press' preseason top 25 college football poll. Which, until the first college football playoff rankings come out in November, will set the benchmark for how we view the profiles of this season's college football teams.

In general, there are two rules of thumb when it comes to the preseason AP Poll:

  1. Teams that won a noteworthy bowl game to end last season, and then return their starting quarterback, are always valued by the voters.

  2. On average, two teams in the preseason top 12 won't be ranked at the end of the regular season. In 2018, preseason No.4 Wisconsin and No.8 Miami (FL) finished unranked. In 2017, preseason No.3 Florida State and No.11 Michigan held that dubious distinction. In 2016, it was preseason No.10 Notre Dame and No.12 Michigan State. By now, you see the trend.

With that out of the way, this is how I project the AP's preseason poll to look next month:

  1. Clemson

  2. Alabama

  3. Georgia

  4. Oklahoma

  5. Ohio State

  6. LSU

  7. Texas

  8. Notre Dame

  9. Florida

  10. Michigan

  11. Oregon

  12. Texas A&M

  13. Washington

  14. Central Florida

  15. Auburn

  16. Penn State

  17. Syracuse

  18. Michigan State

  19. Utah

  20. Stanford

  21. Wisconsin

  22. Miami (FL)

  23. Iowa

  24. Washington State

  25. Iowa State

Again, these aren't my rankings, but what I predict the AP Poll will say. What say you?

Comments (2)
No. 1-2
Ben Olmstead
Ben Olmstead

I think you have good picks, but I agree with Spath (Cornhusker and Jack Frost are getting a lot of media love). On the flip side I think Notre Dame is getting media love equivalent to a redheaded step child. So we will see how that plays out.



I bet Nebraska gets ranked. Everyone is on the Scott Frost train.