Orioles vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Lineups & Odds for Tonight on AppleTV+
The Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays are set to kick off a three-game set Friday in Toronto, with first pitch scheduled for 7:07 PM ET. The Blue Jays are 5-5 over their last ten games and sit in third place, 6.5 games back from the Tampa Bay Rays, in the AL East.
The Orioles have done slightly better recently, going 6-4 over their last ten. They sit in second place in the AL East at 3.5 games back. Below, we’ll provide our top Orioles vs. Blue Jays prediction and explain how to qualify for Caesars Sportsbook’s new-user promo offer.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS. TORONTO BLUE JAYS PREDICTION: Orioles Money Line (+122 at Caesars Sportsbook)
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Projected Lineups for Tonight’s Game on AppleTV+
Before getting into our Orioles vs. Blue Jays prediction, let’s take a look at the projected lineups. For tonight’s matchup, the Orioles are expected to start right-hander Kyle Gibson (4-3, 4.67 ERA) while the Blue Jays are projected to roll with Yusei Kikuchi (5-0, 3.89 ERA), a left-hander. As a result, we can expect tonight’s lineups to look something like this:
- Baltimore Orioles projected lineup vs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi
- Austin Hays (R) LF
- Adley Rutschman (S) DH
- Ryan Mountcastle (R) 1B
- Anthony Santander (S) RF
- Jorge Mateo (R) SS
- James McCann (R) C
- Cedric Mullins (L) CF
- Gunnar Henderson (L) 3B
- Joey Ortiz (R) 2B
- Toronto Blue Jays projected lineup vs. RHP Kyle Gibson
- George Springer (R) RF
- Bo Bichette (R) SS
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B
- Daulton Varsho (L) LF
- Matt Chapman (R) 3B
- Whit Merrifield (R) 2B
- Brandon Belt (L) DH
- Alejandro Kirk (R) C
- Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Predictions for Today
The starting pitching matchup is fairly even tonight. Kikuchi started 2023 off on a tear, surrendering 1 run or less in five of his first seven starts; however, his 3.89 ERA far outpaces his 5.46 FIP, which points to regression. His last start may have been a move in that direction, as he surrendered 5 R (4 earned) on 9 H (3 HR) over 4 innings of work against the Braves.
On the other hand, Kyle Gibson has been relatively solid, and his advanced metrics say he’s performed about as well as could be expected. His 4.67 ERA is only slightly lower than his 4.91 xERA, and his 4.39 FIP actually points to a bit of bad luck in Gibson’s stat line thus far.
At the plate, the Orioles hold a surprising advantage for Friday’s game. Though Toronto’s lineup is considered one of the best in baseball, they haven’t had the results they’ve hoped for against RHPs. Through 1,192 at-bats against righties this season, the Blue Jays hold a solid-yet-unspectacular .734 OPS, placing them 11th in MLB. They’ve also struck out in 286 of those at-bats, the 11th-most in the league.
Conversely, the Orioles have feasted against lefties so far this year: their .802 team OPS against LHP through 493 at-bats places them fifth in baseball. The O’s have recorded more hits against southpaws this year than all but two other teams, and no team has taken more free passes against lefties so far.
And, while the Blue Jays’ bullpen – led by All-Star closer Jordan Romano – isn’t bad (they rank 11th in bullpen ERA on the season), the Orioles have an advantage in this department as well. Their 2.99 bullpen ERA is the second-best in the bigs so far.
Essentially, both teams come into the game in similar forms and with similarly capable starting pitchers; however, the Orioles hold a distinct advantage at the plate and in the bullpen. These two areas should be enough to lead the Orioles to victory Friday; as a result, our top Orioles vs. Blue Jays prediction is for Baltimore to win outright, cashing in on their bettor-friendly +116 money line odds at Caesars Sportsbook.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays MLB Picks & Best Bets for Tonight Including Adley Rutschman
The Orioles’ lineup is full of players who make a living crushing left-handed pitching, and some of their player props make the cut as a top Orioles vs. Blue Jays prediction for Friday. The first of these is Adley Rutschman’s total bases prop, currently set at 1.5 (over priced at +117) at Caesars.
Rutschman has been an incredibly solid all-around performer in 2023, though he’s been even better against lefties. Through just 55 at-bats against southpaws in 2023, Rutschman has posted a .291 average and .812 OPS with four extra-base hits. At plus-money, we think Rutschman’s total bases prop will provide excellent value to bettors Friday.
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Latest Orioles vs. Blue Jays Betting Lines & Odds for 5/19 via Caesars
With our Orioles vs. Blue Jays prediction siding with the road team, it might help to know the odds for tonight’s matchup. Here are the latest Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays betting odds for Friday, per Caesars Sportsbook:
- Money line: Baltimore Orioles +122 vs. Toronto Blue Jays -145
- Run line: Baltimore Orioles +1.5 (-160) vs. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+135)
- Total: Over 9.5 (-110) vs. Under 9.5 (-110)
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