November 26, 2008

Each week, we'll gather the RotoExperts team of fantasy basketball analysts together to ask them a relevant fantasy basketball question. On to this week ...

Question: Who are the top three buy-low players right now?

Last week, I asked our experts about which three players are the best sell-high candidates so far this season, so it's only natural that this week we talk about the buy-low guys.

1. Steve Nash (PG, PHX): Nash is averaging only 7.6 assists, which is his lowest since the 2002-03 season. With an older, slower group around him, Nash is still trying to figure out how to get everyone involved. My guess is that he will find a way. He's still shooting 49 percent from the field and over 90 percent from the free-throw line.

2. Andre Iguodala (SG/SF, PHI): Iguodala is averaging only 13.1 points after averaging almost 20 points per game last season. With teammates Elton Brand and Andre Miller picking up their games, Iguodala is still finding his role. While some may be put off by his low point totals, Iguodala is averaging 5.5 assists, 6.6 rebounds and 1.3 steals. The points will pick up, so don't hesitate to spring for Iguodala.

3. Mike Miller (SG/SF, MIN): Miller is having trouble scoring this season and is averaging only 12.0 points per game. Miller averaged 16.4 for the Grizzlies last season and put up over seven threes per game. As a Timberwolve, Miller is attempting only 3.3 threes per game. Miller is shooting a high percentage from the floor and contributing 5.4 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game.-- Brad Rysz


1. David Lee (SF/PF, NYK): Now is the time to buy Lee stock before he starts posting his routine double-doubles again. With the departure of glass-eater Zach Randolph,there are plenty of boards to be had. If he can get 30-plus minutes from coach Mike D'Antoni, he'll put up the stats we all expected him to when we drafted him.

2. Carmelo Anthony (SF, DEN): What's wrong with this stat line: 20 points, 8.3 boards and a career-high 4.2 assists? Quite frankly, nothing. Despite that, many owners are panicking over Anthony's abnormally low field goal percentage. This is the perfect opportunity to take advantage of those owners looking to sell based on Anthony's current 38 percent shooting from the floor. I don't see what the big deal is. Anthony is a 46 percent shooter from the field for his career, so this is obviously just an anomaly. He's the perfect buy low candidate.

3. Manu Ginobili (SG/SF, SAS): Yeah, he just returned this past Monday for his first burn all season. See if you can pry Ginobili on the cheap right now, and you should be pretty well rewarded. Now is the time to buy, but time is running out so make sure you work out a deal soon.-- Jonathan Huang


1. Al Horford (PF/C, ATL): He was a second-half player last year, and his slow start plus recent injury might have owners worried he'll bust. Move in before he explodes to 12-plus ppg and 10 rpg in the second half.

2. Spencer Hawes (C, SAC): Hawes may be coming off the bench, but he is still getting minutes and producing. Who doesn't need a big man who can step out and hit the trey, then come inside and block nearly two per game? Add in about 10.0 ppg and maybe 6.5 rpg, and that's a great end-of-bench option with upside. I'm not worried about Mikki Moore, because the team knows they won't sniff .500. Heck, they could even opt to deal away Moore or Brad Miller before all is said, opening up more minutes for him. Even in a bench role, he should end up among the top 120 players at the end of the year.

3. Charlie Villanueva (SF/PF, MIL): Even in a bench role, he's worth owning. He isn't an every-week starter, but a great fill-in when he has four games or as a one-day spot play in daily leagues. Regardless who else starts, Charlie V. should get over 20 mpg once he is at full health, and that could still allow him to make his way into the very low double digits in scoring, with decent-but-unspectacular contributions elsewhere. And just think what happens if a frontcourt player goes down in the coming weeks ... money!-- Tommy Landry


As far as buy-low players, I think the one guy I am looking to get my hands on is Caron Butler. Playing for the hapless Wizards usually buries him in the headlines, and putting up some streaky numbers like 6 points in 28 minutes against the Heat and 12 points in 38 minutes last week against the Rockets is making owners a bit weary of Butler as a stud. The fact that I am getting e-mails from guys asking if they should pull a Butler for Andris Biedrins straight up is mind-boggling. That there is a sign that Butler can be had at a decent value. Carmelo Anthony is another guy I'm looking at. He's not going to shoot 38.2 percent from the floor for the season and once he gets used to playing alongside a playmaker like Chauncey Billups he should increase his scoring. Finally, I am going to use some of my sell-high assets and try and pry Deron Williams away from owners. I'm a little concerned about his ankle and how he's come back and played only to return to the injured list. However, he is the second best playmaker in the league and if I can get him on the cheap then I am going to pull the trigger. Convince Williams' owners that they need a few guys to produce now and you'll take Deron off their hands. Hey, it may work!-- Tom Lorenzo

Wow, our experts came up with a lot of great buy-low options! In particular, I agree with the Caron Butler and Mike Miller picks. Caron is one of those guys who seems to fly under the radar, but has the talent to be a top-10 fantasy player. He is definitely worth making a run at.

Miller, on the other hand, is known as one of the best three point shooters in the league, but so far he hasn't lived up to his reputation. I think that's going to change as he adjusts to life in Minnesota, and owners who act now and get him while his value is low will be rewarded in the long run.

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