2019 Fantasy Baseball: Starting Pitching Stock Watch

Dr. Roto

Daily Dr. Roto — March 27, 2019

Starting Pitching Stock Watch

Three Up, Three Down

Catcher | First Base | Second Base| Shortstop | Third Base | Outfielder | Starting Pitching

As Fantasy Baseball Drafts are fast approaching, I will give you three guys that I am keying on (and avoiding) at my upcoming drafts:

Three Up Starting Pitchers:

Trevor Bauer — Last year Fantasy owners were able to get Bauer in the middle rounds of their drafts. Sadly, there is no such luck this season. Bauer is going in the late-second, early-third rounds of most drafts and that is the perfect value for him. I see Bauer with the ability to become one of the top five overall pitchers in MLB. If he can stay injury free and have a little luck, that might happen as soon as this year.

Chris Paddack — I am a bit hesitant to push Paddack because at this point, I think the hype might outweigh his vast ability. He just went in the 11th round of my draft last night, and I paid $10 for him at my auction last weekend, so that should show you that I am committed to him, but I think that if he goes any higher than that, then you might need to look elsewhere as he will probably only get 130 IP this season.

Domingo German — German is a flyer, but there is serious upside here IF he starts the season off well. The Yankees pitching staff is deep, but there are injuries already to Severino and Sabathia, and it looks like German is going to get the first shot to replace them. If he can start hot, he just might stick in the rotation. If he starts out poorly, it's possible that he could be moved back to the bullpen. He's definitely worth the gamble based on his swing and miss ability.

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Three Down Starting Pitchers:

Madison Bumgarner — At some point, Mad Bum's arm is going to give out after pitching so many innings, and he will start to decline rapidly. Moreover, the Giants are terrible offensively, and I have my doubts as to whether he will even win ten games this season.

Wade Miley — It’s not that I don’t like Miley; it’s that I really like Josh James and Forest Whitley and I wonder if the Astros can keep them out of the rotation for long.

Jon Lester — When Adam Ronis and I gave out Cubs predictions, I was not shocked to hear him say that there was no way that he would draft Lester this season. I could not agree more. Lester’s best years are way behind him, and I wonder whether he can keep his ERA under 4.50. I can guarantee you that I will not draft him in any mixed leagues, and I will most likely avoid him in NL-only leagues too.

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